道路燃料市场演变.pdf

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1、Evolution of Road Fuels Markets 2025 Argus Media group.All rights reserved.1A RG US O IL A ND FUT UR E FUE LS FO RUM 20 2 5SpeakersModeratorSophie BarthelEditor Argus BiofuelsArgusBenedict GeorgeEditor European Products ArgusElliot RadleyEditorial Manager OilArgusAnu AgarwalVP Biz Dev Mideast and In

2、diaArgusArgus Oil and Future Fuels Forum 2025European refining has lost competitiveness,and so shrunk20510152025303540EuropeMideastAsia-PacificAmericasSource:Energy Institute Statistical Review of World Energy,2024European refineries are struggling with rising costs and falling local demand for some

3、 products.Rising costs include gas without Russia,wages and carbon costs.European refineries also tend to be small and old.mn b/dArgus Oil and Future Fuels Forum 2025European gasoline supply rises but exports flounder35006007008009001,0001,1001,0001,2001,4001,6001,8002,0002,2002,4002,600kb/dEuropean

4、 gasoline balancesProductionExportsNet diff(RHS)02004006008001,0001,2001,4001,600kb/dEuropean gasoline exportsAfricaAmericasAsiaSource:Eurostat,Kpler,Argus MediaSource:KplerArgus Oil and Future Fuels Forum 2025Key demand outlets in the Atlantic Basin are narrowing48910111213140100200300400500600700M

5、n b/dkb/dUS gasoline imports vs crude outputEuropeAmericasAsiaUS crude output050100150200250300350400450500kb/dNigerian gasoline imports vs Dangote crude receiptsDangote crude importsNigerian gasoline importsSource:KplerSource:Kpler,EIAArgus Oil and Future Fuels Forum 2025Argus benchmarks robust in

6、Europeand further afield56%25%28%40%49%49%94%75%72%60%51%51%0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.04.50%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%Mn tArgus Eurobob gasoline barge tradeNon-oxy%Oxy%OxyNon-oxyTotalArgus EurobobbenchmarkSTS Lome&Fob DangoteFob ARMEBOB?Argus Oil and Future Fuels Forum 2025Time for a Mideast Ga