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火灾天气研究利用.pdf

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1、Fire weather Research Utilisation Mika Peace and David Field High Impact Weather ResearchNSW Rural Fire ServiceNatural Hazards Research AustraliaT1-A1 Training Modules NASA MODIS Aqua satellite 4 January 2020 Research motivationIntensity and duration and impacts of weather events is shifting.High fu

2、nding levels in Australian climate research.Ingredients-based mesoscale meteorology research has a direct pathway to decision making during extreme events.Learn from an extreme event through post event analysis of data and information.Fire weather research benefits from a multidisciplinary approach.

3、Understand processes.Provide more accurate forecasts and predictions next time.How do we effectively share the knowledge,in context,and place it in the hands of practitioners.Kangaroo Island.Credit:Trent Lawson Black Summer research Green Valley.Green Valley.Fire generated tornadic vortexWind estima

4、ted up to 320 km/h(EF4 tornado)Fire truck overturned Corryong Fire(also Badja Fire)Corryong Fire(also Badja Fire)Overnight fire run of 36 km Fire plume interaction with a low-level jet Research findings Fire generated vortices with tornado strength winds Low level jets Research:Research:systematic i

5、nvestigation of materials and sources in order to establish facts and reach new conclusions.Knowledge:Knowledge:the theoretical or practical understanding of a subject.Value:Value:getting research in the hands of decision makers through training and development of people.In unfolding natural disaste

6、rs,people make decisionsIn unfolding natural disasters,people make decisions.Module 1:IntroductionModule 1:IntroductionModule 2 Module 2:Fire Generated Vortices:Fire Generated Vortices Module 3:Low Level Jets Module 3:Low Level Jets Training for practitionersFocus on target audie

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1. 研究背景与动机:极端天气事件的强度、持续时间和影响正在发生变化,澳大利亚气候研究资金充足,需通过多学科方法理解火天气过程,提升预报准确性。 2. 核心发现:火生成的涡旋(如袋鼠岛火灾中的EF4级龙卷风,风速达320公里/小时)和低空急流是极端火行为的关键因素,如Corryong火灾36公里夜间蔓延。 3. 研究转化挑战:研究成果需有效传递给决策者(如消防气象员),但机构资源有限,难以跨学科监测、分析并整合研究至实践。 4. 解决方案:通过T1-A1培训模块(模块1-3)聚焦实战,将研究转化为培训,提升人员能力,增强消防与公众安全。
**火涡威力?** (吸引气象和消防人员关注极端火行为中的龙卷风现象) **低空急流?** (引发对火灾动力机制的探究,适合实战决策者) **知识转化?** (针对研究落地难题,吸引政策与操作层关注)
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