应急管理中的决策.pdf

1、Decision making in emergency management Natural Hazards Research Australia 2025Dr Greg DrummondAssistant Commissioner Fire&Rescue NSWNatural Hazards Research AustraliaProject T2-A4The project has three interrelated components:1.Review of existing knowledge,tools and training options targeted to key

2、decision-making skills.2.Identification and assessment of options for new and/or enhanced training and learning products that target at least two key decision-making skills.3.Development,testing and implementation of selected new or enhanced evidence-based training and learning products.A/Prof Chris

3、 Bearman,Dr Peter Hayes,Prof Rhona Flin,Adj Prof Jim McLennan,Adj Prof Greg Drummond,Dr Phillip ButlerWorkshop approachDecision making theory and concepts(Intuitive&Analytical)Confirmation biasGoal seductionPsychological pressuresNon-technical skills Research has been expanded to the UK Opportunity

4、to compare Australian and UK emergency management practitioner experiences of decision making Australian National Operating Guidelines:Decision-making in Disaster&Emergency Management Development of additional material and training modules covering:o recording decision making,o cognitive aids(evaluation and use of these),o Guide to writing doctrineo worst case scenarios and o operational discretion Next Steps