有机展望.pdf

1、Organic OutlookSharon Raszap SkorbianskyUSDA Economic Research ServiceResearch EconomistAgricultural Outlook Forum2025The findings and conclusions in this presentation are those of the author and should not be construed to represent any official USDA or U.S.Government determination or policy.Primer:

2、Organic Agriculture What is organic agriculture?Strict organic standards overseen by authorized certifying agentProduced without excluded or prohibited methodsSoil fertility managed through tillage and required cultivation practicesPhysical,mechanical,and biological practices for pest control Why or

3、ganic agriculture?Land stewardship by prioritizing soil health,water conservation,and biodiversityHigh-value market opportunity Who is the organic consumer?Consumers purchase organic to avoid pesticide residue,and beliefs about environment and health benefitsRecent regulation aligns practices with c

4、onsumer expectations3Organic sales stable in real termsSource:ERS using Organic Trade Association data01020304050607080201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023ProduceGroceryBeveragesDairy and eggsSnacks and candyFrozenMeat,poultry,and seafoodConsumer sales,million U.S.dollars(2023)4Year-to-y

5、ear increases in some sale categoriesSource:ERS using Organic Trade Association data01020304050607080201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023ProduceGroceryBeveragesDairy and eggsSnacks and candyFrozenMeat,poultry,and seafoodConsumer sales,million U.S.dollars(2023)5Organic acreage has decline

6、d in recent yearsSource:ERS using Argus data6.577.588.599.5201920202021202220232024U.S.TotalMillion acres00.511.522.533.544.5201920202021202220232024Non-field cropsPasture and rangelandField cropsMillion acres6012345611 12 13 14 15 16 17 18