美国纺织政策的下一步.pdf

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1、Perspectives for the U.S.Textile and Apparel Industry Facing the New U.S AdministrationStephen LamarPresident and CEOAmerican Apparel&Footwear Association(AAFA)Email:slamaraafaglobal.orgAgricultural Outlook ForumFebruary 2025Key Questions Will online marketplaces be regulated like physical marketpla

2、ces?How will tariffs be used in the future?How will our industry be regulated for ESG?Online0.00%5.00%10.00%15.00%20.00%25.00%30.00%35.00%2015201620172018201920202021202220232024Online Sales as%of Total SalesU.S.Apparel and Footwear E-Commerce Penetration Rate Source:Coresight ResearchNote:2024 figu

3、res are estimates.Two Sides of the Counterfeit CoinSafety Violations36%No Tested Safety Violations64%Real Dangers in Fake Fashion?Source:AAFA(2022)Acceptable31%Unacceptable69%Is it OK to buy fake goods?Source:EU IPO(2023)Digital Devalue Chain of CounterfeitsSource:U.S.Customs and Border Protection#o

4、f De Minimis Import Shipments Into U.S.FY 2018 FY 2024How Big an Issue is De Minimis?00.20.40.60.811.21.41.62018201920202021202220232024Billions of ShipmentsTariffs“Tariffs as an Outcome”“Tariffs as a Tool”“Tariffs Using Existing Authority”Executive Actions“Tariffs Using New Authority”Act of Congres

5、sHow Might We Encounter Trump Tariffs?Fashions U.S.Tariff Burden0%5%10%15%20%25%30%Fashion(%of imports)Fashion(%of tariffs)Fashions Share of U.S.Trade0.00%2.00%4.00%6.00%8.00%10.00%12.00%14.00%Average Tariff(all goods)Average Tariff(fashion)Average U.S.Tariff RatesSource:U.S.International Trade Comm

6、issionWhither Diversification-Apparel?0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%2000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024ChinaASEANSouth AsiaAGOAW.HemisphereROWSource:OTEXAWhither Diversification-Footwear?0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80