新鲜马铃薯市场展望.pdf

1、Mark KlompienPresident&CEOUnited Potato Growers of America2024-25 Fresh-Potato Market10-Year Varietal Supply/Price History and Market OutlookYellow PotatoesYellow Potatoes7,431.08,858.99,322.79,978.49,683.110,592.711,339.112,343.312,837.413,667.901,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,0008,0009,00010,00011

2、,00012,00013,00014,0002015-162016-172017-182018-192019-202020-212021-222022-232023-242024-25pUS Fresh Yellow Potato Shipments000 cwt-71.9-61.9-14.0-14.6-6.5+67.3+29.6-1.8+9.6+14.0-29.7-52.3-38.3-72.6-90.4-84.6+81.7-39.2-34.9-56.3-5.1-20.80.050.0100.0150.0200.0250.0300.0350.0400.002550751001251501752

3、002252502753003253503754008/38/108/178/248/319/79/149/219/2810/510/1210/1910/2611/211/911/1611/2311/3012/712/1412/2112/28Yellow Tracker-2024-25 to Date3-yr AvgLast YearThis Year000 cwtvs Last Yearvs 3-yr Avg-8.6%-0.1%Yellow-Potato Supply DataAverage 10-year annual growth rate in Yellow supplies:+7.1

4、%/yearGrowth rate vs last year:+6.5%(13,667.9 proj.vs 12,837.4)Demand stable,pricing remains stable,albeit at slightly lower levels than recent yearso10/5lb bale price in$16 rangeoTote A in$20 rangeNo single geographic region dominates the yellow marketoIdaho,Red River Valley,Kern County,San Luis Va

5、lley,FloridaoTop 5 regions produce 57%of total U.S.supplyoCanada Yellow supply to U.S(1st if a state)17%of U.S.consumptionMarket supply volumes still strong,but have we reached the top rung of the ladder?Red PotatoesRed Potatoes15,341.015,254.715,154.413,995.212,261.912,863.512,299.012,416.810,733.2

6、11,376.401,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,0008,0009,00010,00011,00012,00013,00014,00015,00016,0002015-162016-172017-182018-192019-202020-212021-222022-232023-242024-25pUS Fresh Red Potato Shipments000 cwt-91.5-41.3-16.7+27.7-3.2+62.0+18.2-12.4-13.3-51.1-37.4-55.4-19.1-42.3-50.9-1.9+40.4-31.9-55.0-26.