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透视全球经济——从木头产业来看.pdf

上传人: 表表 编号:599431 2025-01-24 34页 2.04MB

1、CHRISTOPH M.SCHNEIDERManaging Director,EconomicaNovember 8,2024 10th International Hardwood Conference,Vienna,AustriaThe global economy in perspective knock on wood2Out of the woods Countries with wood or wood products on their national flags economica.euSource:W,Wikipedia,Plantscience.shop;Visualis

2、ation:Economica HardwoodTree depicted3Prosperity,economic freedom and average incomeeconomica.euPeople living in the most economically-free countries earn 7 times more money,live 16 years longer,than in the least-free countries7 times higher income in the most economically-free countries than in the

3、 least-free countriesSource:Fraser Institute|Economic Freedom of the World(EFW index)4Economic freedom made the world a better place fewer and less severe constraints on individual economic choiceseconomica.euDevelopment of global economic freedom(averaged over all available jurisdictions,19702021)E

4、conomic freedom Is associated with good outcomes,including:higher and faster-growing incomes,less poverty,better health,longer life,lower infant mortality,greater life satisfaction,cleaner environments,less violence,greater trust,greater tolerance,more democratic institutions,and more personal freed

5、omSource:Fraser Institute|Economic Freedom of the World(EFW index)5Democracy is on the retreat in the world today at the same level as in 1985Democracy Index 2024:a measure for the extent of democracy from a global perspectiveeconomica.euQuelle:V-Dem Institute,Democracy Report 2024:Democracy Winning

6、 and Losing at the BallotWorld wide=91 democracies and 88 autocracies71%of the global population(5,7 Mrd.)live in autocracies=+48%more than in 201329%of the global population(2,3 Mrd.)live in democraciesFuzeile6Global risks differ considerably in the medium term in the long term environmental risks

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本文由Christoph M. Schneider撰写,讨论了全球经济、环境风险、供应链问题、贸易政策、人口增长、木材产业等多个方面的议题。文章指出,经济自由与收入水平、寿命等积极指标密切相关,而民主指数自1985年以来没有显著增长。全球风险在未来十年将不断增加,其中环境风险长期占主导地位。文章还提到了全球军事开支达到历史新高,以及供应链中断和战争对全球经济的影响。在木材产业方面,文章讨论了木材出口国和进口国的排名,以及全球森林面积的变化。最后,文章强调了数字化的潜在作用,以及全球人口增长对木材需求的持续影响。
"全球经济前景如何?" "民主是否正在世界范围内衰退?" "未来十年,环境风险将如何影响全球?"
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