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股票建模计划的蓝图.pdf

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1、1Cambridge Systematics,Inc.presented topresented byTowards a Blueprint for an Equity Modeling ProgramQuestions you need to ask yourselfTRB Innovations in Travel Analysis and Planning ConferenceJohn Gliebe,Rachel Copperman,David Von Stroh,Dalia LevenJune 5,20232The ChallengeIntentional travel demand

2、modeling of equity to provide the performance metrics needed to measure progress towards achieving equity objectives for projects or programs.What do stakeholders want to see from your model?Is your model up to the task?What deficiencies can be addressed given your resource and schedule constraints?

3、What should you do to ready a model for equity analysis?How are forecasting scenarios viewed through an equity lens?3Helpful Background4Federal PolicyU.S.DOT Environmental Justice(EJ)Strategyhttps:/www.transportation.gov/transportation-policy/environmental-justice/environmental-justice-strategy Exec

4、utive orders and memorandums of understanding Guiding Principles1.Ensure full and fair participation by all potentially affected communities in the transportation decision-making process2.Avoid,minimize,or mitigate disproportionately high and adverse effects onhuman health and the environmental,incl

5、uding social and economic effects,on minority or low-income populations3.Prevent the denial of,reduction in,or significant delay in the receipt of benefitsby minority or low-income populations5Federal PolicyFederal Transit Administration(FTA)Title VI(Circular 2012)Minimum level of equity analysis th

6、at transit agencies are required to undertake when siting new facilities or implementing fare or service changes Determine whether the planned changes will have a disparate impact on the basis of race,color,or national origin Evaluate proposed service and fare changes to determine whether low-income

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本文主要探讨了如何构建一个用于衡量公平性的旅行需求模型。文章首先提出了当前的挑战,即需要有意地进行旅行需求建模,以提供衡量实现公平性目标所需的关键绩效指标。接着,文章讨论了联邦政策,包括美国交通部环境正义战略、联邦公共交通管理局的Title VI规定以及 transit Cooperative Research Program Report 214等,为建模提供了指导原则。 文章还分析了当前的实践,包括使用活动基础、行程基础、数据驱动和离线模型工具等建模方法。在此基础上,文章提出了几种替代方法,如使用多标准指数、聚类或因子分析来识别公平性人口,以及使用消费者剩余计算来衡量流动性的公平性。此外,文章还讨论了如何通过比较不同人口群体之间的公平性绩效指标和场景变化来评估模型的公平性。 最后,文章提供了一个模型设计蓝图,包括模型设计、开发、规划、市场细分、跟踪公平群体、创建性能指标、预测和输出工具等方面。文章强调,要建立一个有效的公平性模型,需要关注数据获取、模型校准和验证,以及与利益相关者的沟通和合作。
如何实现交通公平性模型的构建? 面对资源与进度限制,如何解决模型公平性缺陷? 针对项目或计划,如何运用公平性模型测量绩效指标?
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