夏季双休日交通需求模型的改进.pdf

1、Adaptation of a Travel Demand Model for Summer WeekendsHampton Roads Express Lane Network(HRELN)Traffic and Revenue Study,2021-22Mark Feldman,Scott Allaire,Tarannum Rima,Benjamin Caron,CDM SmithAgenda Project Overview Data Collection Data Findings T&R FindingsConference on Innovations in Travel Anal

2、ysis and PlanningPROJECT OVERVIEWConference on Innovations in Travel Analysis and PlanningHampton Roads Express LanesNetwork-HRELN Location:Hampton Roads Area(Norfolk/Newport News,VA)Existing Reversible Dual Express Lanes Bowers Hill Extension to open 2023 Hampton Roads Bridge Tunnel(HRBT)Widening/E

3、xtension to open 2026 Northern Extension to open subsequently Shoulder express lanes to parallel existing,provide 2 express lanes/direction Final full build 44 milesConference on Innovations in Travel Analysis and PlanningLEGENDIn OperationSegment 1ProposedSegment 2Segment 3Segment 4HRBTStudy Object

4、ives Original investment grade traffic and revenue study 2019-20“Annualization factors”applied to weekday forecasts Transactions:weekends 35%of weekdays=290 annual weekdays Revenue:weekends 26%of weekdays=280 annual weekdays Severe congestion on summer weekends on I-64 HRBT High HOV share on weekend

5、s potential for HOV policy changes to increase revenue/maintain operations Identify potential increase in revenue forecast for financial planningConference on Innovations in Travel Analysis and PlanningDATA COLLECTIONConference on Innovations in Travel Analysis and PlanningWhat Data Do We Need?Corri

6、dor Count and Speed Profiles Auto Occupancy Data Stated Preference Survey specific to summer travel To use in developing Summer Weekend Value of Time Origin-Destination Patterns for Trip Matrix DevelopmentConference on Innovations in Travel Analysis and PlanningO-D Travel Pattern Data Source-Streetl