火灾案例研究.pdf

1、Fire Case Studies High Impact Weather,Bureau of Meteorology Research Mika Peace,Harvey Ye,Melanie Webb,Dragana Zovko-Rajak,Kevin Tory.In collaboration with radar and satellite research teams,RFS,DFES,AFAC and others.Learning(quickly)from impactful weather events Fire Case Studies Project Outline The

2、 Bureau of MeteorologyImpacts of climate change are manifesting in increased intensity and frequency of synoptic and mesoscale weather eventsFire Case Study Project data capture and analysis of a significant event Standardise and streamline visualisation and analysis for:ACCESS-Fire(coupled fire-atm

3、osphere model),satellite and radar data =Visuals(+interpretation)Two case studies:Currowan(NSW)and Wooroloo(WA)Framework and tools are hazard-agnostic:Use cases are popping out of the woodwork (Climate Attribution,NHRA Flood project,Fire&Thunderstorm teams)Benefits of the project:Rapid turnaround ca

4、se studies for internal and external stakeholders and input to inquiries Rich,multi-disciplinary approach to data collection and analysis and narrative=deeper context for learnings Meteorological context setting the scene The Bureau of Meteorology Words MSLP and thickness charts MSLP and thickness c

5、harts Aerological diagrams Lightning strikes AWS dataUpper windsSatellite data from NCI archive The Bureau of Meteorology Himawari band 13 IRBand 7 has greater sensitivity at the surface.Band 13 has greater sensitivity at cloud top Fire temp RGBTrue colour RBGSWIR LEO Water vapour Hot spotsHimawari

6、band 7 IRRadar data from NCI archive Reflectivity,Velocity,PPI,RHI Currowan fire The Bureau of Meteorology Reflectivity Velocity ACCESS-Fire coupled fire-atmosphere modelHeat released by the fire changes surrounding atmosphereStreamlined run settings and plotting scriptsCorryong fire Currowan fireNo