卫生纸中的非木质纤维：潜力、应用和挑战.pdf

1、NonwoodFibers in Hygiene Tissue Paper:Potential,Applications,and ChallengesProf.Ronalds Gonzalez(Dr.G)Director,Sustainable&Alternative Fibers Initiative(SAFI)North Carolina State UniversityMariana Lendewig,Naycari Forfora,Dr.Richard PhillipsNorth Carolina State UniversityWhy alternative fibers?2-5 1

2、0 15 20 25 30200420062008201020122014201620182020202220242026202820302032Millions TonsPrinting&Writing Paper USA and CanadaHistoricalFcst 20Yrs CAGRFcst 5Yrs CAGRsource1.Availability,quality and price of recycled fibers are dramatically changing 22%capacity loss in 202326 46%expected capacity loss i

3、n the next 8 yearsSource:FAO(2025),SAFI(2025)3Recycled fibers are an important feedstock for the manufacturing of hygiene tissue is at RISK:USA MarketBleached Eucalyptus Kraft28%Northern Bleached Softwood Kraft24%SouthernBleached Softwood Kraft7%Others 13%Deinked28%Mexican MarketBleached Eucalyptus

4、Kraft14%SouthernBleached Softwood Kraft13%Others 8%Deinked65%Colombian MarketBleached Eucalyptus Kraft8%SouthernBleached Softwood Kraft7%Others 10%Deinked75%1.Availability,quality and price of recycled fibers are dramatically changingDelivered price SOP in Colombia$420-480 per as purchased ton at 61

5、%yield10 years ago,yield was 71%=$690-$790/ton(fiber)Source:FAO(2025)42.Northern Bleached Softwood Kraft(NBSK)supply to remain flat NBSK remains flat,price is likely to continue increasing.Opportunity for alternative fibers.01020304050607020082010201220142016201820202022Million TonsCAGR%(5 years)0.4

6、%0.3%4.7%BEK(Hardwood short fibers)NBSK(Softwood long fibers)Acacia(Hardwood short fibers)Source:FisherSolve,SAFI(2025),Phillips(2025).5Opportunities6So many options for using nonwood fibers1.01.22.11.31.21.51.61.72.61.30.91.81.82.00.81.21.30.61.71.00.90.93.03.188.286.879.584.586.482.580.581.178.589