2020年疫情下全球健康及危机应对报告 - 麦肯锡（英文版）（54页）.pdf

1、Copyright 2020 McKinsey excludes China; note that South Korea incremental cases are declining, however other countries are increasing 3.Eastern-Mediterranean WHO region 4.Includes Australia, New Zealand, Fiji, French Polynesia, New Caledonia, Papua New Guinea 5.Increasing: 10% increase in cumulative

2、 incremental cases over last 7 days, compared to incremental cases over last 8-14 days; stabilizing: -10% 10%; decreasing: -10%; if difference in incremental cumulative cases over last 7 days is less than 100, stabilizing 250-999 100,000 reported cases Asia (excl. China)2 Total cases Total deaths 1,

3、047,600 27,180 Middle East3 Total cases Total deaths 1,153,200 27,100 Europe Total cases Total deaths 2,774,200 199,900 South America Total cases Total deaths 2,422,800 91,100 Oceania4 Total cases Total deaths 9,600 100 North and Central America1 Total cases Total deaths 3,379,100 172,000 China Tota

4、l cases Total deaths 85,300 4,600 Africa Total cases Total deaths 356,700 6,700 As of July 6, 2020 McKinsey 2. Case growth is negative if not shown. It is calculated as the % difference in the 7 day average of new cases from one week ago to today; countries with case growth of 5% or more shown; grow

5、th rates of 0-5% are considered stable. Countries with incremental daily cases 100 are considered stable (even if they have 5%+ growth) McKinsey 2. All remaining European countries, including Russia; 3. Includes Japan, Singapore, and South Korea; 4. All remaining Asian countries, not including Russi

6、a; 5. Includes European territories in the Caribbean; 6. Data points shown as 7 days moving average to account for reporting differences (e.g., reporting only once per week), July 3 data not shown since UK adjusted case numbers. Source: WHO, JHU 80% 0% 40% 20% 60% 100% Mar 1 Jan 26 Apr 1 May 1 Jun 1