GSMA：2019俄罗斯&CIS的移动经济报告（英文版）(40页).pdf

1、Copyright 2019 GSM Association The Mobile Economy Russia networks in the regions other 10 markets will be live by 2025. The CIS will be home to around 54 million 5G connections by 2025, representing an adoption rate of 13%. Between 2019 and 2025, mobile revenue in the CIS is forecast to remain large

2、ly stable. However, market-level analysis paints a more nuanced picture. In certain countries, we expect greater smartphone adoption, 4G upgrades and growing data usage to deliver some revenue uplift. In others, factors such as plateauing subscriber penetration and acute competition could contribute

3、 to negative revenue growth, possibly pressing the case for structural change. Over the same period, operators are forecast to invest $39 billion in capex, of which more than 70% will be 5G-specific. Delivering 5G connectivity will increase capital intensity, stretching operators financial resources

4、. Executive Summary 1. We use the term CIS in this report to refer to the Commonwealth of Independent States, including Russia. 2. Total unique users who have subscribed to mobile services at the end of the period, excluding machine-to-machine (M2M). Subscribers differ from connections such that a u

5、nique user can have multiple connections. 3. Excluding licensed cellular IoT The Mobile Economy Russia and CIS 2019 Executive Summary 2 Mobiles significant contribution to jobs and the economy In 2018, mobile technologies and services generated 4.7% of GDP in the CIS, a contribution of $101 billion

6、of economic value added. In the period to 2023, this figure will increase to $122 billion (5.1% of GDP). The mobile ecosystem supported 620,000 jobs in the CIS in 2018, either through direct employment or indirectly through activity in the wider economy. Mobile also contributes to the funding of the