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将质量控制引入传统高性能计算生态系统的策略.pdf

上传人: 柒柒 编号:1268223 2026-06-13 23页 1,006.79KB

1、www.HyperionRwww.HyperionRA Strategy for Introducing QC into the Classical HPC EcosystemBob SorensenChief Analyst for Quantum ComputingHyperion Research Holdings,LLC 2Setting the Scene:HPC TodayWhat a Mess Hyperion Research 2026 The Classical HPC Sector Today Hyperion Research 2026 3But Computationa

2、l Limitations Are Only Half the Story Cost at the highest end of compute continue to climb Recent high-end systems cost upwards of US$600 million Power requirements are increasingly becoming an integral element of TCO 25 megawatts or more for a high-end system Rule of thumb:US$1.5 million/megawatt/y

3、ear=1.5 X 25 X 5=US$187 million total utility cost(not counting resulting cooling requirements)Spate of new workloads complicate HPC design and operations Modeling/simulation,big data analysis,AI Each with(sometimes spectacularly)varying system hardware and software requirements Resulting in growing

4、 architectural options CPU-only,GPU-centric,memory-centric,storage-centric On-prem,cloud,hybrid,continuum,real-time,distributed Driving new architectural paradigms Cloud,AI,analog,optical,dataflow,and quantum Hyperion Research 2026 45QC From the HPC End User perspective Hyperion Research 2026 Primar

5、y End User Motivations from QC Hyperion Research 2026 6New algorithms and future classical performance concerns lead N=115,Select all that apply Implement new algorithms and address concerns with future classical performance selected by majority of respondents N.b.Classical developments could impact

6、 QC uptake An average of 3.3 options selected per respondent Many are still exploring for the sake of explorationOne in four are looking at real-time compute opportunitiesReduce overall compute systems cost:2023 Survey:9.0%2025 Survey:23.5%Reduce power/cooling costs2023 Survey:17.3%2025 Survey:14.8%

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1. **HPC现状与挑战**:高端计算系统成本超6亿美元,功耗达25兆瓦,年电费约187万美元;新工作负载(AI、大数据等)导致架构复杂化。 2. **QC用户动机**:56.5%为实现新算法,51.3%担忧未来经典算力不足;2025年23.5%用户期望降低计算成本。 3. **QC市场前景**:化学/制药行业为最热门应用领域(47.8%);52%用户预计2-5年内实现实用级QC。 4. **采用障碍**:缺乏QC专业知识(35%)和IT集成复杂性(27%)为主要 hurdles;仅8%认为业务优先级低。 5. **ROI预期**:QC优化预算300-600万美元时,年收益可达6000-6500万美元,ROI约10-20倍。 6. **实施路径**:分九步走,包括分析工作负载痛点、评估经典方案、建立QC团队、探索算法、评估价值及采购等。
**量子何时实用?** **HPC如何拥抱量子?** **量子能省成本吗?**
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