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电池在电气时代日益重要的作用.pdf

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1、The growing role of batteries in the Age of ElectricityAraceli Fernandez,Head of the Technology and Innovation UnitEnergy Storage Summit,24thFebruary 2026,LondonIEA 2026Page 2STEPS2013-24CPS2024-35NZE2024-355 00010 0002013-24CPSSTEPS2024-35The Age of Electricity is hereTotal electricity demand growt

2、h(TWh)Electricity is key to major growth areas for the economy such as advanced manufacturing&AI.as growth resumes in advanced economies and strengthens across emerging markets.Electricity demand accelerates in all scenarios Advanced economiesEMDE excluding ChinaChinaAdvanced manufacturingElectric v

3、ehiclesDesalinationHeat pumpsData centresCooling and appliances in EMDEOther usesIEA 2026Page 3Renewable energy is on the rise led by solar PV,nuclear makes a comeback,and natural gas continue to grow.,natural gas continues to grow;Changing power systems are reshaping electricity securityElectricity

4、 generation in the CPS and STEPS Thousand TWhDispatchable power capacity in the CPS and STEPS Thousand GW20242035CoalNatural gasNuclearHydropowerSolar PVWindBioenergy&geothermal0123Battery storage4812201520242035Robust electricity security strategies require dispatchable sources,flexibility&resilien

5、ce,and modernised grids.IEA 2026Page 4Changing power systems are reshaping electricity securityDispatchable power capacity in the CPS and STEPS Thousand GW20242035CoalNatural gasNuclearHydropowerSolar PVWindBioenergy&geothermal0123Battery storageRobust electricity security strategies require dispatc

6、hable sources,flexibility&resilience,and modernised grids.Electricity sector investment(Billion USD,2024 MER)2505007501 00020152025Non fossil fuelsFossil fuelsGridsBattery storageGenerationGenerationbut grids lagged behind.Non-fossil sources drove growth in electricity generation investment in over

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1. **电力需求加速增长**:电力是先进制造、AI等经济增长核心领域,所有情景下电力需求均加速增长,2035年总需求将显著提升。 2. **能源结构转型**:可再生能源(尤其光伏)崛起,核能复苏,天然气持续增长;电池储能装机容量从2024年1万GW增至2035年3万GW。 3. **电池市场爆发**:2025年全球锂离子电池市场扩张超20%,电动汽车占70%,电池储能5年增长超20倍。 4. **价格与技术趋势**:电池价格持续下降,2025年储能电池均价低于电动汽车电池;LFP电池占储能系统超90%,占EV电池超50%。 5. **供应链依赖中国**:中国在锂、镍、钴等关键材料及电池生产环节占据主导地位,出口控制带来全球供应链风险。
**电池需求激增?** (吸引关注能源转型的受众,突出市场增长趋势) **储能成本为何降?** (针对投资者或行业从业者,引发对价格驱动因素的思考) **中国主导供应链?** (聚焦地缘政治风险,吸引政策或供应链领域读者)
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