1、本周值环比变化上月末值本月变化同期值同期变化45港铁矿石库存15,054.65-75.06 14,542.48512.1715,319.38-264.73 247家钢厂进口矿库存9,001.23-74.78 8,849.86151.379,173.04-171.81 45港铁矿石到货量2,268.90-472.30 2,029.10239.802,782.00-513.10 全球19港铁矿石发货量3,516.40447.383,388.35128.053,010.90505.50247家钢厂日均铁水产量236.28-0.60 236.36-0.08 235.800.4845港日均疏港量329.
2、922.97320.169.76326.982.94247家钢厂进口矿日耗291.68-0.95 291.620.06292.61-0.93 主港铁矿成交周均值75.08-30.88 82.18-7.10 109.98-34.90 数据来源:我的钢铁网 宝城期货金融研究所重要提示:本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务,其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用,不构成对任何人的投资建议,请务必阅读文末免责条款。重要提示:本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务,其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用,不构成对任何人的投资建议,请务必阅读文末免责条款。铁矿石供需格局变化不大,钢厂生产弱稳,矿石终端消耗有所回落,本周样本钢厂日均铁水
3、产量和进口矿日耗环比双双微降,而钢厂盈利状况未改善,叠加限产扰动,铁矿石需求延续偏弱运行态势。与此同时,国内港口到货虽持续回落,但海外矿商发运则是大幅增加并重回年内高位,按船期推算后续到货将再度回升,外矿供应积极,而内矿生产趋稳,矿石供应维持高位。目前来看,铁矿石需求弱稳运行,而供应维持高位,矿市基本面表现偏弱,矿价继续承压,相对利好的是套利逻辑切换带来支撑,短期矿价维持震荡运行态势,谨防市场逻辑转向现实端。铁矿石周度数据(20251121)库存供给需求10,00011,00012,00013,00014,00015,00016,00017,00001020304050607080910111
4、245港铁矿石库存45港铁矿石库存20252025202420242023202320222022202120218,0009,00010,00011,00012,00013,000010203040506070809101112247家钢厂进口矿库存247家钢厂进口矿库存2025202520242024202320231,2001,7002,2002,7003,2003,70001020304050607080910111245港铁矿石到货量45港铁矿石到货量20252025202420242023202320222022202120211,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,
5、000010203040506070809101112全球19港铁矿石发货量全球19港铁矿石发货量202520252024202420232023190200210220230240250260010203040506070809101112247家钢厂日均铁水产量247家钢厂日均铁水产量2025202520242024202320232022202220212021240250260270280290300310010203040506070809101112247家钢厂进口矿日耗247家钢厂进口矿日耗202520252024202420232023202220222021202123025
6、027029031033035001020304050607080910111245港日均疏港量45港日均疏港量2025202520242024202320232022202220212021050100150200010203040506070809101112港口现货成交周均值港口现货成交周均值2025202520242024202320232022202220212021投资咨询业务资格投资咨询业务资格:证监许可:证监许可【2011】1778号号期货研究报告期货研究报告