BSRIA：中国热泵行业年会-2021欧洲热泵市场发展现状及前景分析报告.pdf

1、Making buildings betterServing industry since 1955欧洲热泵市场发展现状及前景分析中国热泵行业年会2021年10月Chris Chu / 初琦资深顾问，副总经理英国建筑服务研究与信息协会(BSRIA)亚太区佰世越管理咨询（北京）有限公司0 1可再生能源市场环境0 2欧洲热泵市场现状0 3欧洲热泵市场展望0 4市场机遇与挑战-3.5%-5.1%+2.3%-4.1%新冠疫情下的全球经济环境Global Economy 2020 Global Coronavirus Recession & RecoveryGDP change, 2020 /2020年

2、年GDP同比增速同比增速2020EUR GDP growth-8.2%2020年欧洲年欧洲GDP同比下降同比下降8.2%-8.2%202020212022Global GDP growth全球全球GDPGDP增速增速-4.4%5.2%4.2%Advanced Economies发达经济体发达经济体GDPGDP增速增速-5.8%3.9%2.9%Emerging & developing markets新兴和发展中国家新兴和发展中国家GDPGDP增速增速-3.3%6.0%5.1%国际货币基金组织数据国际货币基金组织数据病毒变种Variants of the virus疫苗分配不均Logistica

3、l distribution of vaccines人们的不安全行为Peoples unsafe behaviour疫苗供应量增长Increased vaccinations放松的防疫措施Relaxed lockdown rules稳健的家庭财务状况（+10%, 17.5万美元）Stable households finances不利因素RISKS有利因素ADVANTAGEGDP forecast, 20222021-2022EUR GDP growth+34%后疫情时期欧洲经济发展预测Europe Economy 2020-22 Reasons for Optimism/Skepticism

4、强劲和可持续的经济复苏与疫情防控局势高度相关Strong and sustainable economic recovery is strongly correlated to health 010,00020,00030,00040,00050,00060,00070,000RenewablesHeat PumpsSolar ThermalResidential AirSingle Ductless SplitsRoom ACCommercial AirSingle Ducted 17.58kWMulti SplitsVRFRooftops & Indoor PackagedChillers

5、AirsideHeatingCommercial BoilersDomestic BoilersRadiatorsUnderfloor HeatingWater HeatingFurnacesBACSBACS ProductsOther ProductsCommision & InstallationService & Maintenance2%5%5%7%3%+12%全球可再生能源市场表现，2020World Renewable Market in 2020家用空调商用空调锅炉、热水器等楼宇自控可再生能源产品2020年欧洲热泵市场同比增速冷凝壁挂炉Wall hung condensing b

6、oilers 非冷凝壁挂炉Wall hung non-condensing boilers 落地炉Floor standing boilers 热泵Heat pumps 欧洲Europe (9 m units)Europe includes 32 countries 欧洲家用供热产品占比，2020Europe Residential Heating Markets Share by Product Types, 2020冷凝壁挂炉：约600万。英国、土耳其禁止非冷凝产品常规壁挂炉：约100万。俄罗斯等东欧国家为主热泵：约100万。西欧发达国家市场，份额快