美银:长城汽车(2333.HK)-港股公司研究:俄罗斯退税推高Q2业绩 新车型放量或驱动下半年复苏-250718(英文版)(10页).pdf

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美银:长城汽车(2333.HK)-港股公司研究:俄罗斯退税推高Q2业绩 新车型放量或驱动下半年复苏-250718(英文版)(10页).pdf

1、 Employed by a non-US affiliate of BofAS and is not registered/qualified as a research analyst under the FINRA rules.Refer to Other Important Disclosures for information on certain BofA Securities entities that take responsibility for the information herein in particular jurisdictions.BofA Securitie

2、s does and seeks to do business with issuers covered in its research reports.As a result,investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report.Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment d

3、ecision.Refer to important disclosures on page 8 to 10.Analyst Certification on page 5.Price Objective Basis/Risk on page 5.12852934 Great Wall Motor(H)2Q25 beat on Russia scrappage tax refund;lift PO to HKD14.6 Reiterate Rating:NEUTRAL|PO:14.60 HKD|Price:13.22 HKD 2Q25 core earnings-42%YoY/+44%QoQ

4、to RMB2.1bn Great Wall Motor(GMW)announced 1H25 preliminary results and hosted a conference call.1H25 preliminary revenue came in at RMB92.4bn,up 1%YoY,while net income was RMB6.3bn,down 10%YoY,tracking ahead of consensus due to government subsidy and Russia scrappage tax refund.1H25 preliminary net

5、 income adjusted for non-recurring items was RMB3.6bn,down 36%YoY.Implied 2Q25 revenue was RMB52.3bn,up 8%YoY/31%QoQ.2Q25 net income was RMB4.6bn,up 19%YoY/162%QoQ.The implied 2Q25 net income adjusted for non-recurring items was RMB2.1bn,down 42%YoY/up 44%QoQ.The RMB2.5bn non-recurring items in 2Q25

6、 were mainly due to Russia scrappage tax refund(including RMB900mn deferred from 1Q25 to 2Q25).GWM recorded sales volume of 313k units in 2Q25,up 10%YoY/22%QoQ.Expect volume sales to sequentially improve in 3Q/4Q25 GWM has a strong model line-up in 2H25,including smart-driving versions for Tank mode

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