世界银行:2025肯尼亚经济更新报告:聚焦财政政策对贫困与收入分配的影响(英文版)(68页).pdf

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世界银行:2025肯尼亚经济更新报告:聚焦财政政策对贫困与收入分配的影响(英文版)(68页).pdf

1、Public Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure AuthorizedPublic Disclosure AuthorizedSpecial Focus on Poverty andDistributional Impacts ofFiscal Policy in Kenya 2025.World Bank GroupThis work is a product of the staff of The World Bank with external contributions.The findi

2、ngs,interpretations,and conclusions expressed in this work do not necessarily reflect the views of The World Bank,its Board of Executive Directors,or the governments they represent.The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work.The boundaries,colors,denominations,an

3、d other information shown on any map in this work do not imply any judgment on the part of The World Bank Group concerning the legal status of any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries.Rights and PermissionsThe material in this work is subject to copyright.Because The World B

4、ank Group encourages dissemination of its knowledge,this work may be reproduced,in whole or in part,for noncommercial purposes as long as full attribution to this work is given.Any queries on rights and licenses,including subsidiary rights,should be addressed to the Office of the Publisher,The World

5、 Bank,1818 H Street NW,Washington,DC 20433,USA;fax:202-522-2422;e-mail:pubrightsworldbank.org.TABLE OF CONTENTSABBREVIATIONS .iACKNOWLEDGEMENTS.iiEXECUTIVE SUMMARY.iiiTHE STATE OF KENYAS ECONOMY1.Recent Economic Developments .21.1 The global and regional economy .21.2 Recent developments in Kenya .2

6、1.3 The real economy .31.4 External sector.51.5 Monetary and financial-sector performance .71.6 Fiscal developments .82.Outlook and Risks.102.1 Outlook .102.2 Risks to the outlook and policy recommendations .13SPECIAL FOCUS3.Poverty and Distributional Impacts of Fiscal Policy in Kenya.163.1 Kenyas e

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