Weizenbaum Institute:2024生成式AI与未来工作报告(英文版)(35页).pdf

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Weizenbaum Institute:2024生成式AI与未来工作报告(英文版)(35页).pdf

1、John Zysman,Mark NitzbergGenerative AI and the Future of WorkAugmentation or Automation?JULY 2024#38ABOUT THE AUTHORSJohn Zysman The Berkeley Roundtable on the International Economy(BRIE)Mark Nitzberg UC Berkeley Center for Human-Compatible AIABOUT THE WEIZENBAUM INSTITUTE The Weizenbaum Institute i

2、s a joint project funded by the Federal Ministry of Education and Research(BMBF)and the State of Berlin.It conducts interdisciplinary and basic research on the digital transformation of society and provides evidence-and value-based options for action in order to shape digitization in a sustainable,s

3、elf-determined and responsible manner.#38 Generative AI and the Future of Work 2 Abstract1This report examines the potential impact of Generative artificial intelligence(AI)systems,such as ChatGPT,on the future of work and,by implication,on productivity.It argues that although Generative AI is power

4、ful,it has significant limitations and risks that require humans to remain“in the loop”not only to prevent systems from going off the rails,but to capture value.Rather than taking a deterministic view that artificial intelligence(AI)will inevitably destroy jobs,the article suggests that an analysis

5、should start with how firms can strategically deploy these tools to gain an advantage.It asks whether“augmentation”or“simplistic automation”lies ahead.Our objective is to move beyond hype and despair.2The existing digital infrastructure has enabled AI to be adopted quickly.However,projections based

6、solely on automating existing tasks fail to capture the complex reorganizations that are likely to happen.Firms in sectors such as professional services,materials,and pharmaceuticals seem to have particular exposure to the use of Generative AI tools.Adaptations will vary across contexts and depend g

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