1、Primary contacts Gavin Gunning Melbourne+61-3-9631-2092 Emmanuel Volland Paris+33-14-420-6696 Alexandre Birry London+44-20-7176-7108 Secondary contacts Brendan Browne New York+1-212-438-7399 Cynthia Cohen Freue Buenos Aires+54-11-4891-2161 Elena Iparraguirre Madrid+34-91-389-6963 Osman Sattar London

2、+44-20-7176-7198 Mohamed Damak Dubai+9-714-372-7153 Contacts continued on page 106 Global Banks Country-By-Country Outlook 2024 Forewarned Is Forearmed November 16,2023 This report does not constitute a rating actionChart 1 Stable outlook trends but buffers may face a squeeze Rating and outlook dist

3、ribution Stable outlooksdominate at 79%Data as of Oct.31,2023.Source:S&P Global Ratings.Our outlook for the global banking sector for 2024 is for continuing ratings stability.We see limited potential for upside ratings momentum but several key risks that could negatively affect bank ratings should a

4、 downside scenario emerge outside our base case.Banks will face headwinds and uncertainties.The weak economic outlook will test banks,as will the CRE sector-which is enduring a significant downturn in some jurisdictions-and high public and public sector indebtedness amid high interest rates.We antic

5、ipate that most bank ratings will remain resilient in the face of these key risks unless they intensify materially or become more entrenched.0%10%20%30%40%50%AAAAAABBBBBBLower0%20%40%60%80%100%Asia-PacificEmerging EMEAEuropeLatin AmericaNorth AmericaCW NegativeNegativeStablePositiveKey takeaways Our

6、 outlook for global banks remains steady.As of Oct.31,2023,79%of bank ratingoutlooks were stable.This resilience is largely due to solid capitalization,improvedprofitability,and still sound asset quality.The weak economic outlook for 2024 will test banks business volumes,asset quality,and financing