1、PATHWAY TO NET-ZERO EMISSIONSEnergy Transition Outlook 20232DNV Pathway to Net-Zero Emissions 2023CONTENTSREGIONAL ROADMAPSPATHWAYSECTORAL ROADMAPS POLICYRemi EriksenGroup President and CEO DNVFOREWORDThis Pathway to Net-Zero Emissions(PNZ)is effectively a blue-print for how that target can still be

2、 hit within the bounds of technical and political feasibility,and within the context of mainstream economic growth forecasts.However,our PNZ is also a blueprint for how to progress towards the target even though we may not quite reach it.Every tenth of a degree of warming counts,as the IPCC has outl

3、ined dramatically.I use the word blueprint advisedly.Our PNZ details how energy technologies work together in a pathway to net-zero emissions by mid-century.A blueprint is typically the starting point for project scheduling and also contains the details for requesting permits.We address those two is

4、sues in this report.Firstly,on scheduling,we show how time is of the essence immediate,pragmatic action is required.Moreover,we find that almost all official net-zero ambitions that have been legislated,proclaimed,or included in policy documents need to be delivered roughly 10 years ahead of stated

5、dates.Secondly,in our discussion of enabling policy,we show how tough choices,including bans and mandates,are unavoidable.We single out permitting of new infrastructure,including renewable sites and transmission and distribution grids,as the key bottleneck.Our PNZ is not a burn now,pay later scenari

6、o.The heavy lifting is done by accelerating the build-out of renewable sources and simultaneously cutting fossil sources.The numbers shown alongside this page bear this out.Most notable is the tripling of electricity production by 2050,with 21 times more electricity from solar PV and 15 times more f