鲜马铃薯市场展望.pdf

1、Mark KlompienPresident&CEOUnited Potato Growers of America2025-26 Fresh-Potato Market10-Year Varietal Supply/Price History and Market OutlookYellow PotatoesYellow Potatoes8,925.89,380.89,978.49,683.110,592.711,339.112,148.012,768.312,811.012,556.601,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,0008,0009,00010,0001

2、1,00012,00013,00014,0002016-172017-182018-192019-202020-212021-222022-232023-242024-25p2025-26pUS Fresh Yellow-Potato Shipments000 cwt2025-26 FreshYellow PotatoMarket ShareProjected Total Fresh Yellow Shipments:12,556,600 cwtCANADA18%ID18%SLV12%RRV11%KERN10%FL7%SKAGIT4%WI5%CB2%OTHER13%+95.1+5.5-9.0-

3、24.5-38.9-32.7+11.9-17.4+2.2+8.1+25.1+17.8+14.9+63.3+114.9+80.2+60.1-46.4-2.7+36.4+51.90.050.0100.0150.0200.0250.0300.0350.0400.0450.002550751001251501752002252502753003253503754004254508/98/168/238/309/69/139/209/2710/410/1110/1810/2511/111/811/1511/2211/2912/612/1312/2012/27Yellow Potato Tracker-2

4、025-26 to Date3-yr AvgLast YearThis Year000 cwtvs Last Yearvs 3-yr Avg+7.9%+9.8%Yellow-Potato Supply DataAverage 10-year annual growth rate in Yellow supplies:+5.6%/yearGrowth rate vs last year:-2.0%(12,556.6 projected vs 12,811.0 LY)Demand stable,pricing still reasonable,albeit at lower levels than

5、 recent yearsCurrent Tote A in$15-16 rangeNo single geographic region dominates the yellow marketIdaho(+14%),San Luis Valley(-3%),Red River Valley(+9%),Kern County(flat),Florida(-19%)Top 5 regions produce 57%of total U.S.supplyCanada Yellow supply to U.S(1st in a state ranking)18%of U.S.consumptionM

6、arket supply volumes stable,but have we reached the top rung of the ladder?Red PotatoesRed Potatoes15,186.915,009.713,995.212,261.912,863.512,299.012,219.410,684.410,141.711,546.301,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,0008,0009,00010,00011,00012,00013,00014,00015,00016,0002016-172017-182018-192019-202020-