《麦肯锡:2025代理型AI对未来职场的颠覆性影响研究报告:人机协作(英文版)(12页).pdf》由会员分享,可在线阅读,更多相关《麦肯锡:2025代理型AI对未来职场的颠覆性影响研究报告:人机协作(英文版)(12页).pdf(12页珍藏版)》请在三个皮匠报告上搜索。
1、People&Organizational Performance PracticeThe future of work is agenticThe digital workforce is happening.Heres what it may look like when humans are working side by side with AI agentsand how to prepare now for this surprisingly near-term eventuality.June 2025Think about your org chart.Now imagine
2、it features both your current colleagueshumans,if youre like most of usand AI agents.Thats not science fiction;its happeningand its happening relatively quickly,according to McKinsey Senior Partner Jorge Amar.In this episode of McKinsey Talks Talent,Jorge joins McKinsey talent leaders Brooke Weddlea
3、nd Bryan Hancockand Global Editorial Director Lucia Rahilly to talk about what these AI agents are,how theyre being used,and how leaders can prepare now for the workforce of the not-too-distant future.The following transcript has been edited for clarity and length.From generative to agentic AILucia
4、Rahilly:Jorge,welcome to McKinsey Talks Talent.Jorge Amar:Thank you very much.Excited to be here.Lucia Rahilly:Jorge,there was a great little piece in The Wall Street Journal called“Everyones talking about AI agents.Barely anyone knows what they are.”What exactly do we mean when we talk about agenti
5、c AI?Jorge Amar:Ill start where I think most people still are,which is generative AI.Gen AI is mostly a reactive type of AI focused on generating creative content,triggered by a prompt or an instruction from an individual.Now if we continue the evolution of AI into agentic,we start to come to a very
6、 different reality.The first difference is were talking about AI that is not only generating content.It is executing on a task,on a mandate,on a particular instruction.An AI agent is perceiving reality based on its training.It then decides,applies judgment,and executes something.And that execution t
7、hen reinforces its learning.It learns if what the agent did was good or bad and then feeds that back in.So were getting into the next step:AI deciding what to do on its own.We start to get into this complete AI workforce.Your AI agents could now be the evolution and the creation of a digital replica
8、 of the entire workforce of an organization.Lucia Rahilly:OK,Jorge.Youre scaring us.Lets talk through some use cases that might help bring this to life a bit.What does agentic AI look like now in the wild?Jorge Amar:Its still the Wild,Wild West out there.But Ill try.Right now,many companies are star
9、ting to experiment.Typically,the environments in which they are deploying agents are very deterministic,with a clear process to follow.Think of IT help desks,or software development,or customer service tickets:any environment where a customer asks for something and theres a well-defined process afte
10、rward.The agent picks it updecides what is the right process,the right content article to be retrieved,the right information to be gatheredand then triggers an action.The future of work is agentic2Your AI agents could now be the evolution and the creation of a digital replica of the entire workforce
11、 of an organization.Jorge AmarBryan Hancock:In HR,were seeing agentic AI in talent acquisition.Agents clean records.They try to understand,“Of the vast universe of potential candidates,how do we clean the data and understand who the right candidate might be?”Then a separate agent goes through and sc
12、ores those candidates and does the ranking and the sourcing process.A separate agent reaches out to gain contact and schedule interviews.And then Ive seen a coordinating agent that sits on top of the overall process,interacting with those underlying agents.Have you seen that kind of coordinating age
13、nt process?And how do you even create an agent that coordinates across some of those discrete subprocesses?Jorge Amar:I have a client that is already doing the first screening of all candidates for the front line entirely with agents.And I have even seen one step further:AI agents being deployed for
14、 training.Think of a call center or store environment.You generate an agentic customer,and you say,“This is a type of call.This is a type of customer.Record an interaction.”Its not only simulating a real phone call.Youre also getting live,detailed scoring of how you,as a frontline employee,are doing
15、 in that interaction.Are you using the right words?Have you remembered every single step of the process?It gives you very detailed coaching instructions.Probably before,a supervisor in a call center could listen to three,five calls per agent.Now you get a summary of every single call,with a detailed
16、 breakdown of all the things this human agent is doing well and could do better.The future of work is agentic3You can focus your coaching,your onboarding in a much more targeted way because you know exactly which skills to develop,which traits to emphasize.And its not only recruiting and training;yo
17、u could even do the same thing for performance management.How agentic AI is already changing workBrooke Weddle:Jorge,it sounds like youre pointing to examples where agentic AI has allowed companies to achieve greater levels of productivity.Recently,the Work Trend Index annual reportcame out,one of M
18、icrosofts flagship publications in workforce.And it found that a third of executives are considering using AI to reduce head count in the next 12 to 18 months.But nearly 50 percent said they were considering maintaining head count but using AI as digital labor to boost productivityas complementary t
19、o human skills.What have you seen in terms of use cases?Jorge Amar:It is still early days when it comes to what I call decoupling the creation of capacityautomating tasks that otherwise would have been performed by a humanand the monetization of capacity.The monetization of capacity is its own indep
20、endent thing.One of the potential paths can be,“Im going to reduce head count.”More and more,some executives Im talking to are interested in,“I might reduce head count,but I also might want to do things differently.”Suppose your competitive advantage was your call center agents.If AI brings everyone
21、 to the same parity level,how do you differentiate?What are the implications for your workforce when you can differentiate by having the best algorithm,the best agentic framework out therebut at the same time,how do you complement that with humans to do things that otherwise would have been cost pro
22、hibitive?Ill give you one example.Last week,I was talking with one of my travel clientsand you could pick the airline or cruise line of your choice.What if you now had your own personalized concierge looking at your travel,giving you very detailed recommendations on how to navigate the airport,sugge
23、sting the type of food you could pick up on your way and even creating the order for you,and then getting to the final point in which it helps you board the plane and makes sure you have space?The possibilities are endless when it comes to figuring out or creating new and different workflows,new pro
24、cesses,new ways to surprise and delight your customers that you couldnt have otherwise.Bryan Hancock:And I imagine you can also do some of the same toward your employees.How do you surprise and delight across the employee journey?How do these agents actually get createdand get created in a way thats
25、 specific to processes in any one area?Jorge Amar:Were all still figuring out the best way.There was a quote recently along the lines of,“IT will be the HR of AI agents of the future.”I would divide the creation of an agent into a few different steps.This helps us understand who is doing what.The fu
26、ture of work is agentic4First,there clearly needs to be a rationale from the business:customer support,marketing,sales,HR.They would define,“What is the need for an AI capacity?”and decide,“What are the parameters of what this AI capability needs to perform?”Then they would work with their IT or AI
27、function to either develop or procure their agentic capabilities.In many cases,the specificity and complexity of these AI capabilities will require these companies to develop their agent capabilities in-house,because they cannot find them in the market.Its going to be a hybrid situation.Once that ca
28、pability exists,you have to onboard and train that agent,which we call“tuning”an agent.Tuning the agent requires a number of things:a good articulation and understanding of the process you are trying to“agentize,”as well as a subject matter expert who really understands the ins and outs.You also nee
29、d someone who understands the available dataa content specialist who is saying,“These are the content articles,the corpus of knowledge you need to train your agent,”and who makes sure that knowledge is up to date.In one of my cases,we trained the agent,and the agent started to spit out a bunch of CO
30、VID-related policies that were no longer relevant.So you need to make sure the data is accurate,relevant,and up to date.Last,you need a good,robust prompt-engineering skill set:someone who can teach,train,and tune the agent by saying,“When the customer or your employee says this,this is what they me
31、an.This is what they are trying to accomplish.And therefore do X,Y,Z.”Building and managing an AI workforceBrooke Weddle:Jorge,you mentioned IT becoming the HR of AI agents.And,of course,it was Jensen Huang,the CEO of Nvidia,who said this recently.When you think about a digital workforce,whose job i
32、s it to ensure that digital workforce is reaching its full potential?Is it more in the realm of IT?Or is this a space where HR might have a few things to say,since for a long time,getting managers to reach their full potential has been more their purview?Jorge Amar:Some pioneering companies in this
33、space are expressing their org charts not only in number of FTEs full-time employees but also in number of agents being deployed in every part of the organization.So I think we are going into a world where youll have to think about your workforce as both agentic and human.And I dont think IT will be
34、 able to do this alone.IT will be critical in enabling the foundational elements to train an agentthe data stack,the right procurement,the right platform for training and tuning the agents.Now,the true missing pieces:one is the business.Nobody will be able to train an agent if you dont know intimate
35、ly the policies,the processes,what really differentiates you from a business perspective.The future of work is agentic5And then I think HR will play a key rolefirst,to really push the business on what can be done from a hybrid workforce perspective.Second,and we started seeing this in one of my clie
36、nts,is where the technology is up and running,but the number of live interactions is not coming down.There is a big change management component that comes into play.HR will be absolutely critical there.How do you tell your 20-year-tenured employee in the call center,“Now there is this agent that is
37、going to do the job much better than you”?This person would probably say,“How can this AI thingy that got trained yesterday replace my 20 years of experience?”And there is a big step toward driving the incentives for usage,role modeling communication,and creating the right change story for these emp
38、loyees to understand,“Look at all the great possibilities this unlocks for you.”This tells me HR still will play a critical role in the adoption of this agentic workforce.Maybe HR will not be screening each resume,but it will be critical in driving the change management efforts in adopting an agenti
39、c AI workforce.Lucia Rahilly:Jorge,its so interesting to hear the anthropomorphic terms youre using to describe these agentsexisting in the org chart,for example,or as a digital workforce.To be clear,are these agents being construed as tools or as a class of digital workersneo-colleagues of some kin
40、d?Jorge Amar:I do think of it as a workforce.This is a workforce that will conduct end-to-end processes,replacing many tasks being performed today by the human workforce.It will augment the tasks a human workforce is performing to help make it better,faster,more efficient.Some companies out there ar
41、e even promoting this notion of a zero-FTE departmentan entire function fully performed by an agent.Then you have on the side humans in the loop controlling or monitoring what these agents are doing.Putting philosophical debate aside,I think we should think of agents as a parallel workforce for all
42、intents and purposes.Earning employee trust in the AI ageLucia Rahilly:You mentioned adoption,and we so often hear adoption cited as a primary challenge in realizing the value of AI.How do you see humans in the workplace taking to this notion of collaborating with AI agents?Jorge Amar:Its still a bi
43、g challenge.Ill give you one example.In some of the frontline environments where I spend a lot of time,some of the newer agents or the newer reps tend to embrace AI faster.Why?Because if youre just coming into a frontline environment,the back office is where you need to learn all these things,and no
44、w AI is guiding you through the process.Thats great.It makes the job easier.But some of the more tenured employees resist AI quite a bit.Its really challenging for them.The future of work is agentic6So I think we are going into a world where youll have to think about your workforce as both agentic a
45、nd human.Jorge AmarThe other big element is that many employees tell us,“I cannot trust an AI black box out there that is doing this,so I will use the AI result,but at the same time,Im going to have my own calculations.”Therefore,youre now duplicating work.There are many of these elements that will
46、be critical in cracking the code to adoption,because my fear is that we will end up with huge investments and very little value realized.Bryan Hancock:Who do you think is going to lead the way in adoption?Jorge Amar:First,theres got to be a clear mandate from the top.Leaders should make sure they ar
47、e role modeling and integrating AI into the way they speak and what they do.Second,evaluate the performance of AI in a joint fashion.One of my clients sees the results of both the human and the agentic parts of the operation in the same dashboard.The business manager,the VP,and the SVP evaluate the
48、joint performance of both their workforces.Third,this space is changing week by week,day by day.You need to design an operating model,a set of processes,that allows you to adapt.The more flexible this operating model,the better,because otherwise youre going to be making investments in a technology o
49、r a set of algorithms that three months from now are going to be different.If you put all that in the mix,some of the smaller companies,start-up environments,have a little bit of an advantage.But the reality is that some of these LLMs large language models or agent platforms are not going to be trai
50、ned on small companies.So it is critical to get to the larger companies and say,“Hey,Im going to make the performance of these even better.”How to do that in an effective way in that environment is,to me,the crux of this issue.Brooke Weddle:What skills are going to become more salient in human leade
51、rs to get the most out of agents?The future of work is agentic7Some companies out there are even promoting this notion of a zero-FTE departmentan entire function fully performed by an agent.Jorge AmarJorge Amar:First,HR will need to be at least business proficient in what an agentic workforce can do
52、.How can you drive a change management program if you dont know what your agentic workforce can and cannot do,or what will be possible in three years?Second,I think HR will play an important role in reskilling human employees.Today,you can probably fully agentize the workload of a level-one support
53、engineer.But you might want to repurpose that person to become a prompt engineer or to do content generation for AI training.An HR function that can do that at scale is another critical component and skill set that HR will need to develop if you think about the next three,five years:“What is the evo
54、lution of that role?”Last is being really good at empathy,understanding the change story,helping employees onboard into their own AI journey,and making it happen in a way that is not threatening:“Look at all the other possibilities you might have in the future within the organization.”Articulating t
55、hat very clearly and helping employees come along in that journey is going to be another critical component.Brooke Weddle:The Work Trend Index annual report I mentioned earlier talks about the need to evolve from an org chart to a work chart.Jorge Amar:Yes,and you probably saw that the CEO of Shopif
56、y released a memo saying something along those lines:“Before you ask for new head count,show me that AI cannot do the work.”Brooke Weddle:That was almost positioned as a more radical stance.But in my conversations,its very much a part of the conversation already.I very much think thats a now thing v
57、ersus a future thing.Jorge Amar:There are a couple of elements we also need to put on the table to say why now or not now.I would describe them in three broad categories.Number one is that to get an agent up The future of work is agentic8There are many of these elements that will be critical in crac
58、king the code to adoption,because my fear is that we will end up with huge investments and very little value realized.Jorge Amarand running,you do need a good technology stack and data stack.And there are many thingsbeing done to create new data,generate what we call synthetic data for training purp
59、oses.Number two,there are a number of concerns about security and risks,from drift,hallucination,bias,and any of the challenges with some of these LLMs.For example,what if an agent is talking to your customer support agent,and they generate their own little dynamics and negotiation,and now suddenly
60、you end up with a 90 percent discount on your product because you trained your agent into churn reduction and churn avoidance?How do you control that?Maybe you need to train a whole new set of agents that are monitoring the different negotiations and different discounts,and anything that touches you
61、r CRM customer relationship management.And the third is,“What is the cost?What are the different usability considerations from a UX user experience and UI user interface perspective?”Its great that you might have a very conversational chatbot,but if it looks like the 1990s interface of how you were
62、interacting on some of your most famous messaging platforms,customers are not going to use it.So I think it is a very now conversation,but it also requires us to tackle some of these issues around risk,data,usability.Because otherwise,its going to go into purgatory.Brooke Weddle:Thats not where we w
63、ant to go.Clear.Lucia Rahilly:Obviously,its vital to be talking about this now,planning for it now.But acknowledging that predictions are freighted with uncertainty,what time frame do you think were talking about for agents really to take effect at scale in companies?The future of work is agentic9Jo
64、rge Amar:It depends on who you ask.Some of the hyperscalers and technology companies would tell you that they are already deploying it,and they are.Many of the other organizations I talk to are saying,“I need to understand this;I need to evaluate it.”And were probably looking at 18 to 24 months out
65、before it reaches full scale.I believe that there are a few elements where itll take a little bit of time,making sure everyone is comfortable deploying them at scale.Preparing the workforce of tomorrowBryan Hancock:Jorge,Ive got two college-age kids.What advice do you have for them as theyre thinkin
66、g through their careers and how to engage in work in a future that is agentic?Jorge Amar:I was having this conversation a few weeks ago with a friends son who asked me:“Maybe I should just drop out of college and become a prompt engineer.”And look,I think there are certain jobs that are going to be
67、fully transformed by AI.These net-new roles,such as prompt engineer and content specialist,will become more relevant in organizations.I would expect this demand to be higher than what the market can offer when it comes to just college.Therefore,I think we will have to go through a reskilling at scal
68、e within the existing workforce.On the other side,how do you differentiate?If you differentiate only by having the best prompt engineer,fine.I think that is a skill set that at a certain point you will catch up on,because you could even have an agent that does prompt engineering.But if you think the
69、 most important element a company has is the trust of and the relationship with their customers,do you need a human workforce that is more empathetic?Because,again,you might be OK talking to a chatbot to reschedule an appointment.But if you were just in an accident,do you want to talk to a human,or
70、do you want to talk to a bot?How do you emphasize skills in the incoming human workforce that help a company establish relationships?This could be the source of differentiation for your company.This could be the competitive advantage:“I offer a superior service.I offer a more human touch and surpris
71、e-and-delight experience.”For my friends son,I was opening his mind in terms of,“Hey,maybe prompt engineering is fine,but maybe my arts background will be valuable in tomorrows workforce because I will be able to understand human feelings in a way that no agent will be able to do.”Brooke Weddle:Jorg
72、e,if I reflect on what youre saying,I think its a good time to consider the broader cultural implications of having a digital workforce.And some of that relates back to the values of a company.As you think about incorporating and onboarding agents as part of an organization,how do you do that in a w
73、ay that is consistent with your company values,where you might prioritize collaboration,psychological safety,or having difficult conversations?Its a really interesting question to ask to get full value from the digital workforce.The future of work is agentic10You might be OK talking to a chatbot to
74、reschedule an appointment.But if you were just in an accident,do you want to talk to a human,or do you want to talk to a bot?Jorge AmarJorge Amar:A hundred percent.Thats why we are seeing more and more companies start to experiment with employee-facing agents more than just full end-customer-facing
75、agents.Because how do you make sure that every interaction is in line with your corporate values,with your identity,with your brand standards,with the way you want to address a customer?Thats why I think were going to go first through testing and scaling of an employee-facing agentic workforce.And t
76、hen,over time,in certain discrete moments,you might want to do it with your end customer.You might want to do certain tasks that are mundane:customer authentication or verification or call summarization.But,again,you dont want to outsource to an agent or a digital agent the core of the relationship
77、with your customeror not just yet.Lucia Rahilly:I read the article you recently coauthored,Jorge,about agentic AI in the context of customer care.I found it fascinating that one of the findings was that almost three-quarters of Gen Z respondents to your survey believed live calls were quickest and s
78、implest.Even younger cohorts seem to prefer human interaction.That points to the tremendous change management process that will have to happen for this to take hold.Jorge Amar:So funny you mention that.Gen Zers would be bothered if they got a phone call from their parents,right?They would prefer to
79、interact by text.I am sure anyone who has kids can relate to that.But for customer support needs,they prefer to talk.So when we were digging a little deeper into why they prefer to talk to their provider,insurance company,telco carrier,bank,they all mentioned the same:“My situation is so unique,so i
80、mportant to me,that I just want to talk to a human who will give me that personalized and unique solution I wont be able to get through a bot.”And the reality is maybe 80 percent,90 percent of those interactions are the human giving them the exact same process,but still they felt they had a much mor
81、e personalized solution by talking to a human.The future of work is agentic11So maybe that changes over time and customer support bots will just get true characters that enable a fully formed dialogue.To your point,the change management is not only with employees.Its also customer education and buil
82、ding trust on some of these solutions.Brooke Weddle:Jorge,when you think about the next three to five years,what are you most optimistic and excited about when it comes to the potential of agentic?Jorge Amar:I am really looking forward to doing things in a way that we couldnt have done otherwise.I a
83、m super optimistic about doing personalization at scale with customers.I am super optimistic about empowering humans to do tasks that are not repetitive,that are not going to create attrition levels of 50,60,100 percent per year,that create career paths for employees that are about connecting with h
84、umanstransforming the way we work on a daily basis,focusing on the change management elements we were just describing.This hybrid workforce future should be a very uplifting environment for everyonemostly for us as part of the workforce.It creates a new set of skills that were probably deprioritized
85、 in previous ways of finding efficiencies in companiesfor example,trying to do things as repetitively and as fast as possibleand really opens the door to new ways of interacting with customers and employees.Bryan Hancock:I have a fun question.Should we tell AI thank you?Jorge Amar:I do because I thi
86、nk that when Skynet takes over,I want them to know I was very kind to them.Its funny.I was reading the other day that OpenAI is spending tons of cyclesI dont know if youve seen that newson the use of“please”and“thank you.”Brooke Weddle:I say thank you to Alexa.Its just good behavior all around.Jorge
87、 Amar:Of course.Bryan Hancock:The article on OpenAI was saying,“Were spending millions of dollars,pumping tons of CO2 into the atmosphere because of the energy used by the data centers because were saying thank you.”Jorge Amar:Totally.But imagine your kids.Youre going to teach them not to say thank
88、you to Alexa but say thank you to a human?Come on.Jorge Amar is a senior partner in McKinseys Miami office and leads McKinseys digital customer care group globally.Brooke Weddle is a senior partner in the Washington,DC,office,where Bryan Hancock is a partner.Lucia Rahilly is the global editorial director and deputy publisher of McKinsey Global Publishing and is based in the New York office.Copyright 2025 McKinsey&Company.All rights reserved.The future of work is agentic12