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1、 THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S.GOVERNMENT POLICY Required Report:Required-Public Distribution Date:May 21,2025 Report Number:CH2025-0120 Report Name:Dairy and Products Semi-annual Country:China-Peoples

2、 Republic of Post:Beijing Report Category:Dairy and Products Prepared By:FAS China Staff and Jadon Marianetti Approved By:Adam Branson Report Highlights:Post forecasts that Chinas raw milk production will decline in 2025 due to continued reductions in dairy herd size,despite improved per-cow yields.

3、Imports of fluid milk and skim milk powder are forecast to decline due to relatively strong domestic production and weak demand.Post forecasts that whole milk powder imports will increase modestly due to reduced domestic production.Cheese imports are expected to rise moderately on stronger food serv

4、ice demand.Butter imports will increase due to growth in the baking and food service sectors,although domestic production is also expanding.Whey imports are forecast to decline due to high tariffs on U.S.product and limited capacity of alternative suppliers,despite firm demand in the feed and infant

5、 formula sectors.EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The forecasts and revised estimates provided in this report are issued by FAS China and are not official USDA data.FAS China provides this analysis and reporting as a service to the United States agricultural community,and to our farmers,ranchers,rural communities,

6、and agribusiness operations in support of a worldwide agricultural information system and a level playing field for U.S.agriculture.Fluid Milk:Post forecasts that fluid milk production will decline in 2025,as rising per-cow milk yields are insufficient to offset the continued contraction in dairy co