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1、Thailands Economic Outlook 1Q2025Growth,March 2025Thailands Economic Outlook Mid-Year 2024Member firms and DTTL:Insert appropriate copyrightTo edit,click View Slide Master Slide Master2Thailands Economic Outlook 1Q2025 2025 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Jaiyos Co.,Ltd.2Thailands Economic Outlook 1Q2025 2

2、025 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Jaiyos Co.,Ltd.2Global Economy 011Q2025Thailands Economic Outlook 1Q2025 2025 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Jaiyos Co.,Ltd.3United StatesSource:Deloitte Analysis,IMF WEO Jan 2025Note:1 Asia refers to Emerging and Developing Asia2 ASEAN refers to ASEAN-5;Indonesia,Malaysia,Phi

3、lippines,Singapore,ThailandEuropean UnionChinaASEAN2WorldIndiaJapanAsia120245.2%Unit:%of GDP GrowthThailands Economic Outlook 1Q2025 2025 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Jaiyos Co.,Ltd.32.82.72.12024 2025F 2026F3.23.33.32024 2025F 2026F1.01.41.72024 2025F 2026F6.56.56.52024 2025F 2026F4.84.64.52024 2025F20

4、26F4.54.64.52024 2025F2026F-0.21.10.82024 2025F 2026FGlobal growth is anticipated to be 3.3%in both 2025 and 2026,which is below the historical average of 3.7%recorded from 2000 to 2019.Global headline inflation is projected to decrease to 4.2%in 2025 and further to 3.5%in 2026,returning to target l

5、evels sooner in advanced economies compared to emerging markets and developing economies.Thailands Economic Outlook 1Q2025 2025 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Jaiyos Co.,Ltd.4Key TakeawayKey Takeaways and Watchlist in 2025 Rising inventories,partly due to frontloading of trade.Plummeted equity prices amid

6、 concerns of tariff policy uncertainty.Lower-than-expected inflation,at 2.8%in Feb 25,which core inflation was also the lowest figure since Apr 21,at 3.1%in Feb 25.Surged in layoffs,over 172K in Feb 25,dominated by the government sector.Weak retail sales,up 0.2%from Feb to Mar 2025.WatchlistUSKey Ta