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1、Great Powers,Geopolitics,and the Future of TradeJanuary 2025 By Priscille Arbour,Aparna Bharadwaj,Tim Figures,Marc Gilbert,Nikolaus Lang,Georgia Mavropoulos,Michael McAdoo,and Cristin Rodrguez-ChiffelleBoston Consulting Group partners with leaders in business and society to tackle their most importa

2、nt challenges and capture their greatest opportunities.BCG was the pioneer in business strategy when it was founded in 1963.Today,we work closely with clients to embrace a transformational approach aimed at benefiting all stakeholdersempowering organizations to grow,build sustainable competitive adv

3、antage,and drive positive societal impact.Our diverse,global teams bring deep industry and functional expertise and a range of perspectives that question the status quo and spark change.BCG delivers solutions through leading-edge management consulting,technology and design,and corporate and digital

4、ventures.We work in a uniquely collaborative model across the firm and throughout all levels of the client organization,fueled by the goal of helping our clients thrive and enabling them to make the world a better place.GREAT POWERS,GEOPOLITICS,AND THE FUTURE OF TRADE 3Less than a decade ago,the con

5、tours of international commerce were still being shaped by an ambitious free-trade system aimed at opening new markets for companies and workers.These days,geopolitics and economic security considerations are becoming the defining forces.New research by BCG,which has been tracking these shifts in gl

6、obal trade since 2018,reveals just how sharply geopolitical rivalries,alliances,and aspirations are rewiring the global economy.(See“About Our Research at the end of the report”)Although we project that total world trade in goods will keep growing at an average of 2.9%annually for the next ten years