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1、Commissioned byGlobal Maritime Trends 2050Contents3 About the research5 Foreword by Lloyds Register7 Foreword by Lloyds Register Foundation9 Introduction11 Global trends overview Geopolitical and macroeconomic trends Environment trends Natural resource trends Technological trends Social trends26 Fou
2、r futures for the maritime sector in 2050 Just,gradual transition Rapid,tech-driven transition Regionalised and fragmented transition Delayed transition35 What if scenarios What if nations embrace widespread adoption of green hydrogen by 2050?What if automated technology solutions became widely adop
3、ted in the maritime industry by 2050?What if regionalisation and population expansion lead to deglobalisation and fragmented global maritime trade by 2050?What if average global sea levels rise by at least 40 cm by 2050?48 Conclusion49 Appendix:detailed literature review methodology51 ReferencesGlob
4、al Maritime Trends 20502 The Economist Group 2023About the researchGlobal Maritime Trends 2050 is a report by Economist Impact,commissioned by Lloyds Register Foundation and Lloyds Register.Economist Impacts research is based on a pragmatic literature review(see Appendix for a detailed methodology)a
5、nd 16 in-depth,qualitative interviews with maritime policy and industry professionals.Findings from the literature review were used to inform the global trends overview and formed the basis of our four futures.We then conducted 16 interviews with experts to better understand the implications of thes
6、e futures,and what these mean for our four“what if”scenarios(more details on these are available in the introduction).The full list of interviewees,in alphabetical order,are:Andrew Stephens,executive director,Sustainable Shipping Initiative Basil Germond,chair in international security,Lancaster Uni