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1、SOFTENING GROWTH AMID A DARKENED GLOBAL OUTLOOKadb.org/outlookDeveloping Asias recovery progresses even as challenges mount Since the April Asian Development Outlook,various headwinds have strengthened:Russian invasion of Ukraine has raised uncertainty,reinforced supply disruptions,and unsettled ene

2、rgy and food markets,boosting inflation More aggressive tightening by the US Federal Reserve and other central banks isdenting global demand and rattling financial markets Zero-COVID lockdowns in the PRC threaten growth and supply chains Developing Asia is now projected to grow more slowly,from 5.2%

3、to 4.3%for 2022 andfrom 5.3%to 4.9%for 2023 Inflation forecasts are revised upfrom 3.7%to 4.5%for 2022,and from 3.1%to 4.0%for 2023on higher energy and food prices Several downside risks loom large,including a sharp deceleration in global growth,stronger-than-expected monetary policy tightening,esca

4、lation of the Russian invasion ofUkraine,deeper-than-expected deceleration in the PRC,and negative pandemicdevelopments2The pandemic lingers,but declining COVID-19 mortality riskDaily new COVID-19 cases,7-day moving averageCOVID-19=coronavirus disease.Source:Our World in Data(accessed 1 September 20

5、22).COVID-19 case fatality ratesAfter surging globally early this year,COVID-19 cases have fallen and are at low levels in developing Asia.Confirmed COVID-19 fatality rates fell across the world this year301,0002,0003,0004,000Developing AsiaEuropean UnionUSOmicron COVID-19 variantNew cases,7-day mov

6、ing average,thousandWorld2.01.61.72.31.10.90.71.70123WorldDeveloping AsiaAdvanced economiesEmerging economies%Case fatality rate,25 November 2021Case fatality rate,30 August 2022Note:The World Health Organization classified Omicron as a variant of concern on 26 November 2021.The case fatality rate i