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mark-zieg---bord-bia---beef-market-outlook-and-prospects.pdf

上传人: 小溪 编号:1165363 2026-03-14 24页 2.78MB

1、Irish Beef Review and Outlook 2024/25Mark ZiegJanuary 17th 20252Irish beef exports 2024United Kingdom:47%1.3bn/+5%Continental EU:46%1.3bn/+3%International:7%190m/+47%2.8 billion+6%Additionally:Beef Offal:135m/+1%Value-added beef:245m Primary Beef:507,000T(cwe)+3%Exports to:Value(million)%ChangeUK1,0

2、50+3France300-5Belgium64-8Germany134-Italy228-2Netherlands23212Spain533Sweden1122US13197 Canada2297China 10-50 Hong Kong16 27 Philippines2933Japan13 135 Key Irish Beef Markets 20243Bord Bia based on CSORed box refers to offals11145-9145Irish Weekly Cattle ThroughputData up to w/e 27 December 2024:So

3、urce DAFMWeekly total cattle kill in DAFM approved plants 2022-20242023 2024Change%Change Total1,781,7831,804,639+22,856+1%Prime1,303,5121,306,080+2,5680%Cows418,271447,552+29,281+7%Other60,00051,007-8,993-18%1000015000200002500030000350004000045000Jan Jan Feb Feb MarMar Apr Apr Apr MayMay Jun Jun J

4、ul Jul Aug Aug Sep Sep Sep Oct Oct Nov Nov Dec Dec202220232024Carcase Weights Average carcase weight by category Jan-Dec 2022/24(kg)SteersHeifersYoung BullsCowsBulls2023345.8307.5366.7294.7444.92024339.5301.5364.1291.2428.8Change-6.3-6.0-2.6-3.4-16.1Lower carcase weights due to younger slaughter age

5、s and growing dairy influenceHigher proportion of dairy cow throughput-reflected in lower carcase weightsSource:DAFM/CSO250.0270.0290.0310.0330.0350.0370.0390.0410.0430.0450.0SteersHeifersYoung Bulls CowsBullskg202220232024Carcase Weights by Source Source:ICBFAverage carcase weight of suckler bred s

6、teers has increased over the last decadeBeef cross and dairy sired cattle carcase weights have declinedGrowing proportion of dairy origin animals in the kill has multiplied the impact392334310388330306386323302050100150200250300350400450Suckler beefBeef crossDairy Sired2022202320240%10%20%30%40%50%6

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1. **出口表现**:2024年爱尔兰牛肉出口总额28亿欧元(+6%),其中英国(47%,13亿欧元,+5%)、欧盟(46%,13亿欧元,+3%)为主要市场,国际市场(7%,1.9亿欧元,+47%)增长显著。 2. **产量与屠宰**:2024年总屠宰量180.5万头(+1%),其中母牛屠宰量增长7%(+2.9万头),但胴体重下降(因屠宰年龄年轻及乳牛比例增加)。 3. **2025年展望**:预计总屠宰量降至172万头(-5%),优质牛屠宰量预计减少6.4万头(-5%)。 4. **市场动态**:英国2025年牛肉进口需求预计增长11%,欧盟产量持续下降(-0.7%),爱尔兰牛肉品牌在关键市场认可度提升。 5. **价格与消费**:爱尔兰牛肉价格同比上涨59欧分/公斤,消费需求改善,促销和低价仍是购买关键因素。
**爱尔兰牛肉出口增长?** **欧盟牛肉产量趋势?** **牛肉消费行为变化?**
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