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中国养老金市场增长潜力巨大
中国养老金市场增长潜力巨大
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所属报告：
贝恩公司：2023中国养老金市场白皮书（26页）.pdf
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图2.5：.低迷的就业可能开始影响国家养老金的可持续性
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行业数据
2026-07-21
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图13、养老金权益和共同基金规模占比显著提升
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市场规模
2026-06-25
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图14、美国三支柱养老金体系发展历程
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产业概述
2026-06-25
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图15、养老金制度改革推动其资产规模稳步扩张
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市场规模
2026-06-25
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图9：最近测量年度中报告的总养老金负债变化（十亿美元）
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行业数据
2026-04-20
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图12：报告的总养老金责任（十亿美元）
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行业数据
2026-04-20
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截止25年11月25日，全球私募信贷资金供给中养老金规模
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市场规模
2026-03-16
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表1、2024年全球公共养老金基金排名
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行业数据
2026-03-09
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图8、美国三支柱养老金体系发展历程
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产业概述
2026-03-09
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全球主要国家公共养老金支出占GDP比重预测（2000-
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2026-02-24
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图3-15日本养老金三大支柱参与人数趋势（千人,2002-2022年）
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自研数据
2026-02-09
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表2-3第三支柱养老金融产品规模（截至2023年年末）
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2013-2024年月人均养老金情况
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表3：第三支柱养老金融产品规模（截至2023年年末）
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图26：美国三大支柱养老金体系构成 WW
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展望未来，中国养老金市场增长潜力巨大（图21）。截至2021年，中国养老金市场规模约为15万亿元，2022年以来，伴随养老金第三支柱制度加速落地，带动万亿增量资金入市，预计2025年前，中国养老金市场短期增速可以达到15%，总规模可达约26万亿元，2025–2030年的中长期增速将达到12%，总量在2030年达到约48万亿元。贝恩观察到，由于第一支柱支出压力激增，第二支柱企业渗透率增长仍需政策撬动，发展第三支柱有助于缓解第一支柱的支付压力，同时弥补第二支柱不足，扩大养老金覆盖面。近年来，针对第三支柱的纲领性政策开始加速落地，金融机构纷纷布局。同时，个人对多支柱养老的认知开始增强，养老金产品也在政策和需求双重刺激下开始迭代发展。参照发达国家多支柱养老的发展史，中国养老金第三支柱有望迎来高速发展。
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贝恩公司：2023中国养老金市场白皮书（26页）.pdf
图7：可供选择的业务选项
图6：贝恩归纳出了四大类商业模式，与价值链上的各玩家相对应
第三支柱市场现有参与者数量
中国企业年金市场竞争格局（资金单位：万亿元，账户单位：万，2021年）
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