利用 Spark Structured Streaming 构建实时运动模型洞察.pdf

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1、Building Real-Time Sport Model Insights With Spark Structured StreamingDraftKingsAaron Hope&Ethan Summers10/06/20252What we doDraftKings DraftKings is a digital sports entertainment company,with multiple verticals,including a sportsbook.Sports Intelligence is responsible for producing sports betting

2、 content,primarily for the sportsbook.Quants generate the odds(probabilities).How has sports betting content changed?Evolution of Sport Betting Content4Content is KingFY 2024 PresentationQ3 2024 PresentationRecognized(1)as#1 U.S.Mobile Sportsbook App:Ranked#1 in the reports User Experience Betting I

3、nterface Features CategoriesDriven by:Live Betting Player Props-(In-house)Micro-Betting Same Game Parlays(SGPs)(1)Bowden,A.,Neilly,J.,Singer,D.,Krafcik,C.,Krafcik,A.,McCarthy,D.,Giden,B.(October 2024).2H24 Product Analysis:Testing,Scoring,And Ranking U.S.Sports Betting Apps.Eilers&Krejcik Gaming,LLC

4、.Evolution of Sport Betting Content5Content is King More Fun More Legs More Correlation More Complex More HeadachesEvolution of Sport Betting Content6Same Game ParlaysEvolution of Sport Betting Content7Monte Carlo simulationsEvolution of Sport Betting Content8Challenges 300+concurrent marketsPrecise

5、 odds(function of N-simulations)Sub-second SLAFeed reliability&depthLimited data for novel scenariosTorpedo Bat=No Fun:(How do we do it?System Architecture10Databricks+Simulation EngineSimulating the Superbowl:Real-Time ML to Predict the NFLSystem Architecture11Player Ratings&Kalman FiltersHow To(Ma

6、ybe)Make Money Betting on NBA Using Rocket ScienceHow do we really do it?How do we really do it?We get helpHow we do it14Trader inputsMachine Learning is an eternal struggle between explainable and powerfulAnd our models are pretty damn powerful Business problemHow can we empower traders with real-t