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美国农业部(USDA):2025中国棉花及其制品市场年度报告(英文版)(34页).pdf

上传人: Kell****reet 编号:640546 2025-04-28 34页 1.41MB

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1、 THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S.GOVERNMENT POLICY Required Report:Required-Public Distribution Date:April 23,2025 Report Number:CH2025-0087 Report Name:Cotton and Products Annual Country:China-Peoples R

2、epublic of Post:Beijing Report Category:Cotton and Products Prepared By:FAS China Staff Approved By:Adam Branson Report Highlights:Posts forecasts MY 25/26 cotton production at 6.35 million metric tons(MMT)on stable planted area and a return to normal weather conditions.Imports are forecast at 1.55

3、MMT and domestic consumption at 8.15 MMT.Post revised up its estimate for MY 24/25 cotton production to 6.81 MMT.MY 24/25 imports are revised down to 1.40 MMT,as a glut of domestic cotton and high MY 23/24 imports are reducing demand for imported cotton.Beijings imposition of 140 percent tariffs on

4、U.S.cotton will all but stop further imports from the United States.2 FAS China provides this analysis and reporting as a service to the United States agricultural community,and to our farmers,ranchers,rural communities,and agribusiness operations in support of a worldwide agricultural information s

5、ystem and a level playing field for U.S.agriculture.Executive Summary Post forecasts MY 25/26 cotton production at 6.35 MMT,down five percent on a return to trend yields after last seasons excellent weather.The Chinese government will continue its target price-based subsidy for Xinjiang cotton to ma

6、intain planted area and production in that region for 2025.In contrast,production outside Xinjiang is expected to decline further due to limited subsidies,lower cotton prices,reduced quality,higher input costs,and competition from alternative crops.Cotton consumption for MY 25/26 is forecast at 8.15

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根据报告的内容,本文主要介绍了2025年中国棉花产业的情况。文章预测2025/26年度中国棉花产量为6.35百万吨,种植面积保持稳定,天气条件回归正常。国内消费预计为8.15百万吨,进口量为1.55百万吨。文章还提到,由于国内棉花供应充足,加上对美国棉花的进口关税提高,中国对进口棉花的依赖将减少。此外,中国政府将继续对新疆棉花实施目标价格补贴政策,以保持该地区的种植面积和产量。中国纺织品和服装出口在2024年增长了2.8%,但预计在2025年剩余时间里,由于贸易争端和市场不确定性,出口将有所下降。
中国2025/26年度棉花产量预测是多少? 中国2025/26年度棉花进口量预计是多少? 中国2025/26年度棉花消费量预计是多少?
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