国际精算协会 人工智能和精算师职业的未来.pdf

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1、The IAA,AI and the future of the Actuarial ProfessionCharles CowlingPresident IAASingapore Actuarial Conference 202429thAugust 20242AgendaThe IAAThe IAAThe Actuary of the FutureThe Actuary of the FutureAIAI3In 2024 the IAA represents 75,000+actuaries in 115+countries4The Mission of the IAAImpact glo

2、bal stakeholdersImpact global stakeholdersIAssure the reputation of the professionAssure the reputation of the professionAAdvance the competency of the professionAdvance the competency of the professionA5The Mission of the IAAImpact global stakeholdersImpact global stakeholdersI IAssure the reputati

3、on of the professionAssure the reputation of the professionA AAdvance the competency of the professionAdvance the competency of the professionA A6The Actuary of the future?7Scope&Breadth of Actuarial KnowledgeLife InsuranceMortalityPensions&Social SecurityGeneral InsuranceICA1895Early 1900s1930sFina

4、nce&Investments1990sRisk Management2000sBankingAI(Big Data,Analytics)Climate Change2010sICA20262029?Modern society will no doubt need tomorrows actuary to go back to the early cradle of our profession,that is as a data driven and model guided financial decision maker in a world governed by uncertain

5、ty.Paul Embrechts,Lugano,20178Scope&Breadth of Actuarial KnowledgeThis is not a new debate Letter written 22ndJuly 1848 on the creation of the Institute of Actuaries in the Athenaeum:“Looking at the science of which an actuary practices the application and which,though at present it principally rela

6、tes to life contingencies yet must be held to include all contingencies to which calculation of probability can be applied.Proceedings of the 1851 Richmond Dinner in the Journal of the Institute of Actuaries:“I look forward to the day when the profession of actuary will be greatly extended,and no co