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中国民航供需预测
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所属报告：
航空行业深度报告：全球市场恢复进度加快中国国际航班政策边际放松-220620（16页）.pdf
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中国民航机队规划增速与客流规划增速较为接近
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中国民航空域繁忙度2012年已显著高于欧美
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行业数据
2026-07-06
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中国民航空域资源稀缺——空域仅20%用于民航
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行业数据
2026-07-06
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2025年中国民航飞机停飞规模进一步增长
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市场规模
2026-07-06
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中国民航运输机数量逐年增加（2018年至2027年预测值）
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行业数据
2026-04-22
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图5-9中国民航货邮运输量（2020-2025,万吨）
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自研数据
2026-03-02
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中国民航运输飞机架数增速已放缓
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行业数据
2026-02-02
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2026年中国民航业总体目标
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行业数据
2026-02-02
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综合以上假设，我们预计2022/23年中国航空供给年均增长 20%。结合上文我们的假设 2022/23年需求年均增长 24%，则在 2022-23 年，中国航空需求-供给增速可能有 4 个百分点的差额。
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航空行业深度报告：全球市场恢复进度加快中国国际航班政策边际放松-220620（16页）.pdf
中国航司飞机利用率
中国国内执飞客运航班量
中国国内客座率
中国国内民航运输量指数（2011年=100）
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