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图9近期玉米价格走势
图9近期玉米价格走势
行业数据
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图片大小：177KB
图片尺寸：1760*976
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所属报告：
龙力生物-纤维素乙醇成新利润增长点-130306（22页）.pdf
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CBOT11月大豆价格与12月玉米价格比值（大豆玉米比）
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行业数据
2026-01-07
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2025年以来玉米价格触底回升
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行业数据
2025-12-26
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2025年，玉米价格年底有所反弹
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行业数据
2025-12-19
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玉米价格（截至25年12月12日）
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行业数据
2025-12-17
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美国玉米价格持续走弱
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行业数据
2025-12-12
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图表33.全球玉米价格
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行业数据
2025-12-12
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玉米价格持续下探（元/吨）
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行业数据
2025-12-12
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玉米价格下跌、豆粕价格上涨（元/吨）
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行业数据
2025-12-10
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玉米价格下跌、豆粕价格上涨（元/吨）
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我们认为，2013 年全球玉米价格仍将处于高位震荡，主要理由是：1）全球玉米库存消费比创新低。国际玉米供需情况分析 USDA 在 12月的报告上调全球的产量预期，由 8.397 亿吨上调至 8.491 亿吨，上调 1.12%。全球产量调增主要来源于中国，中国玉米的收获面积和单产均环比提升，其中单产上升至 5.95 吨/公顷，玉米产量预期上调 800万吨至 2.08 亿吨，大幅上调 4%。但全球需求大幅增加，销量环比提升 1.08%至 8.67 亿吨，全球玉米产销缺口进一步扩大至 1749 万吨，库存消费比环比微跌至 13.57%，为近十年来最低水平，继续显露偏紧格局。在全球玉米供需紧张背景下，玉米期末库存消费比由去年的15.30%下降至今年的 13.76%，处于历史最低水平。2）降雪导致近期玉米价格上涨。入冬以来，东北地区持续的降雨降雪天气已经使玉米上市日期一再推迟，受玉米上市推迟影响，东北玉米收购价格进一步上扬。3）玉米深加工企业开工率较高，导致玉米收购价格小幅上调，9 月份以来，利润一直处于低迷状态的玉米深加工企业开工率开始由底部回升，临近年末，由于前期深加工企业产品库存低迷导致价格反弹。4）饲料行业玉米刚性需求有所增加。进入 12 月份之后，饲料养殖下游市场逐渐回暖，肉价小幅上涨，生猪存栏结构自 11 月份以来开始改变，大猪数量增加，预计未来对玉米刚性需求有所增加。从我国玉米饲用消费数值变化情况看，2011/12 年度玉米饲料消费为 11200万吨，2012/13 年度玉米饲料消费为 11680 万吨，预计到明年玉米饲料消费随着饲料行业依旧处于行业景气期，对玉米刚性消费需求继续增加。我们认为，2013 年，玉米价格仍将高位盘整，淀粉等玉米深加工行业由于技术含量低，导致其毛利受玉米价格影响而难以复苏。
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龙力生物-纤维素乙醇成新利润增长点-130306（22页）.pdf
表3国内主要燃料乙醇生产企业情况（万吨/年）
表2我国可再生能源领域主要政策
百万元人民币）
表12009年低聚木糖行业产能分布
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