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美国玉米价格持续走弱
美国玉米价格持续走弱
行业数据
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所属报告：
【东方证券】2026年农业年度策略：筑底、向上-251209（60页）.pdf
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相关数据
CBOT玉米及中国玉米价格走势
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行业数据
2026-06-11
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中国玉米价格明显高于美国和巴西（美元/吨）
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行业数据
2026-05-19
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海外玉米价格的上行在国内被明显“钝化”
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行业数据
2026-03-02
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2023年以来玉米价格处于低位
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行业数据
2026-02-28
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玉米价格下跌、豆粕价格上涨（元/吨）
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行业数据
2026-01-14
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中国玉米价格与生鲜乳均价走势(元/公斤)
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行业数据
2026-01-12
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CBOT11月大豆价格与12月玉米价格比值（大豆玉米比）
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行业数据
2026-01-07
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2025年以来玉米价格触底回升
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行业数据
2025-12-26
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2025年，玉米价格年底有所反弹
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行业数据
2025-12-19
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玉米价格（截至25年12月12日）
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行业数据
2025-12-17
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图表33.全球玉米价格
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行业数据
2025-12-12
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玉米价格持续下探（元/吨）
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行业数据
2025-12-12
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玉米价格下跌、豆粕价格上涨（元/吨）
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行业数据
2025-12-10
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玉米价格下跌、豆粕价格上涨（元/吨）
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主产国持续增量，全球玉米供给维持宽松。25/26 种植季全球玉米产量增长大于需求增长，库存量增长。据USDA最新预测，2025/2026年度全球玉米播种面积 2.09亿公顷，较上年度增加 0.06亿公顷；产量 12.97 亿吨，较上年度增加 0.61 亿吨；期末库存 2.94 亿吨，较上年度增加 0.12 亿吨；总消费量 12.86 亿吨，较上年度增加 0.35 亿吨；库存消费比 22.9%，与上年度基本持平。主产国方面，1）美国玉米预计增产但出口增量较少，期末库存上升，价格承压下行。据 USDA 的9月报告预估，美国 2025/2026年度玉米产量为 4.24亿吨，较上年度增加 0.46亿吨；出口为 0.74亿吨吨，较上年度增加 0.02亿吨；期末库存为 0.53亿吨，较上年度增加 0.2亿吨；库存消费比为16.12%，提升了 5.5 个百分比。供大于需的市场背景下，24-25 年美国玉米价格在 4 美元/蒲式耳的低价附近持续震荡，美玉米持续走弱或导致种植积极性下滑以及后续供给下降。2）巴西玉米预计产量回落。据USDA的 9月报告预估，巴西 2025/26年度玉米产量为 1.31亿吨，较上年度减少 0.09 亿吨，降幅约 6.56%，但出口量减少幅度相对较小，预计对全球玉米价格影响有限。
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【东方证券】2026年农业年度策略：筑底、向上-251209（60页）.pdf
【东方证券】2026年农业年度策略：筑底、向上-251209
财务报表预测与比率分析
巴西玉米供需平衡表（百万吨）
美国玉米供需平衡表（百万吨）
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