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图表202.美国与欧元区基准利率（%）
图表202.美国与欧元区基准利率（%）
行业数据
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图片格式：PNG
图片大小：73KB
图片尺寸：1565*810
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中国银行：2026中国银行个人金融全球资产配置白皮书（162页）.pdf
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行业数据
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行业数据
2026-03-16
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行业数据
2026-03-05
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香港房贷利率和基准利率情况（单位：%）
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行业数据
2026-02-24
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图表1：2025年各主要经济体基准利率变动情况（截至2025年12月22日)
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行业数据
2026-01-12
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图15 2000年以来美、欧、日货币政策基准利率
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政策法规
2026-01-08
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全球主要经济体央行政策基准利率
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政策法规
2025-12-15
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图3美国基准利率较中性水平大约还剩下40bp降息幅度
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行业数据
2025-11-24
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图5、次贷危机前的美联储政策利率与市场基准利率
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政策法规
2025-11-24
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全球央行基准利率变化
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行业数据
2025-11-12
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韩国基准利率和美联储EFFR相关程度较高
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行业数据
2025-11-04
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美国联邦基准利率和失业率
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行业数据
2025-09-26
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10年期国债与政策基准利率（%）
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政策法规
2025-09-22
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当前美国联盟基准利率仍低于泰勒规则（2.0的自然利率）
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2025-07-25
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综上所述，基准情形下，基于欧元区经济温和增长、欧央行维持利率稳定，美联储渐进降息支撑欧元偏强走势。 另外两种概率较小的情形为：乐观情形下，美国经济大幅放缓、美联储加速降息，欧美利差快速收窄或助推欧元超 英镑：内部支撑偏弱，随美元反向波动 2025年英镑兑美元呈现先涨后跌再企稳的走势。得益于英国经济超预期增长、弱美元以及英国央行鹰派立场， 镑开始回落；11月随着财政预算案落地逐渐企稳；截至12月31日，英镑兑美元年内上涨7.68%。 5.4.1经济弱复苏，央行谨慎降息 展望2026年，基于上文对英国经济保持弱复苏态势，但同样存在系列结构性问题，短期财政支撑效果可能不 5.4.2脱欧后遗症，拖累英镑竞争力 英国与欧盟碳边境调节机制（CBAM）将于2026年1月1日生效，该机制将对从英国进口的钢铁、水泥、铝、 导致英国企业向欧盟出口的碳密集型产品面临更高的关税成本，削弱其在欧盟市场的竞争力，尤其是钢铁、水泥等 传统优势产业。此外，2026年英国多个城市将开征旅游税，其中爱丁堡的旅游税将于2026年7月24日生效（涵盖
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