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花旗中国经济意外指数&BCI招工前瞻指数
花旗中国经济意外指数&BCI招工前瞻指数
行业数据
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所属报告：
2026年宏观形势展望：向“改革”要红利-251116（29页）.pdf
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1978年以来中国经济社会发展相关里程碑事件
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2026-05-25
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中国情绪经济市场分层结构（2024年）
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2026-05-19
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（2024年及2030E）全球及中国情绪经济市场
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2026-05-19
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北京大学国家发展研究院丨中国经济观察报告2026年第一季度
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2026-05-15
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图54、中国当前人力成本仍明显低于美欧等发达经济体
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2026-05-11
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以花旗中国经济意外指数5作为宏观体感的刻画，以 BCI 招工前瞻指数作为居民微观体感的刻画，会发现，宏微观“温差”是 2022 年之后的“常态”，此前较为少见。2022 年体感温差大，是因为疫情对中国生产能力的影响明显弱于海外经济体，对国内生产能力的影响明显弱于对需求的压制，全球订单还在不断涌入，进而导致国内宏观数据持续超预期，但微观体感不佳。2023 年之后宏微观体感的温差主要集中体现在上半年某些时段，托底政策下宏观数据表现良好，但微观体感体现不明显。微观层面，企业的体感主要与盈利能力有关、居民主要与就业和收入预期有关。
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