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种奶牛场当年出场量（万头）
种奶牛场当年出场量（万头）
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所属报告：
食品饮料行业深度报告：原奶价格周期向上板块配置价值愈显-260108（59页）.pdf
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种奶牛场当年生产胚胎量（万头）
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种奶牛场年末存栏数量（万头）
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中国奶牛养殖场总户数（万户）
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中国百头以上规模奶牛饲养场户数占比（%）
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fCDog47mrKEgICB8IOWNleS6p+awtOW5s++8iEtHL+W5tO+8iSB8CnwtLS0tLS0tLXwtLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS18CnwgMeiDjiAgICB8IDY2OTAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfAp8IDLog44gICAgfCA3NTgwICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwKfCAz6IOOICAgIHwgNzIzMCAgICAgICAgICAgICB8CnwgNOiDjiAgICB8IDcyNzAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfAp8IDXog44gICAgfCA2NzQwICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwKfCA26IOOKyAgIHwgNzAyMCAgICAgICAgICAgICB8CgrotYTmlpnmnaXmupDvvJrjgIrljY7ljZflnLDljLrojbfmlq/lnabniZvms4zkubPmgKfog73lnKjlraPoioLjgIHog47mrKHjgIHms4zkubPml7bmnJ/lvbHlk43kuIvnmoTlj5jljJbop4TlvovjgIs=
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2018~2024年奶牛场均存栏数大幅提升
5oqx5q2J77yM5oiR5peg5rOV5o+Q5Y+W5Zu+54mH5Lit55qE5pWw5o2u44CC6K+35o+Q5L6b5paH5pys5L+h5oGv77yM5oiR5bCG5biu5Yqp5oKo55Sf5oiQ6KGo5qC85ZKM6LWE5paZ5p2l5rqQ44CC
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图17奶牛饲养规模场数（户）
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fCDog47mrKEgfCDljZXkuqfmsLTlubPvvIhLRy/lubTvvIkgfAp8LS0tLS0tfC0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLXwKfCAx6IOOICB8IDY2MDAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfAp8IDLog44gIHwgNzYwMCAgICAgICAgICAgICB8CnwgM+iDjiAgfCA3MjAwICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwKfCA06IOOICB8IDcyMDAgICAgICAgICAgICAgfAp8IDXog44gIHwgNjgwMCAgICAgICAgICAgICB8CnwgNuiDjisgfCA3MDAwICAgICAgICAgICAgIHwKCui1hOaWmeadpea6kO+8muOAiuWNjuWNl+WcsOWMuuiNt+aWr+WdpueJm+azjOS5s+aAp+iDveWcqOWto+iKguOAgeiDjuasoeOAgeazjOS5s+aXtuacn+W9seWTjeS4i+eahOWPmOWMluinhOW+i+OAiw==
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fCDlubTku70gfCDop4TmqKHlnLrlrZjmoI/ph4/vvIjkuIflpLTvvIkgfAp8LS0tLS0tfC0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS0tLS18CnwgMjAyMCB8IDUyMCAgICAgICAgICAgIHwKfCAyMDIxIHwgNTgwICAgICAgICAgICAgfAp8IDIwMjIgfCA2NDMgICAgICAgICAgICB8CnwgMjAyMyB8IDcxMyAgICAgICAgICAgIHwKfCAyMDI0IHwgNzMxICAgICAgICAgICAgfAp8IDIwMjUgfCA3NDMgICAgICAgICAgICB8CgrotYTmlpnmnaXmupDvvJrlhpzkuJrlhpzmnZHpg6jvvIzkuJzlhbTor4HliLjnoJTnqbbmiYA=
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种奶牛场胚胎量和出场量有所下滑，下游奶牛养殖场产能扩张阶段性放缓。据历年《中国畜牧兽医年鉴》统计数据，2023 年，我国种奶牛场当年生产胚胎量为 3.8万头，同比下滑 22.1%；当年出场量 7.6 万头，同比下滑 14.9%。二者当年的增长情况均会对其下游奶牛养殖场未来几年的奶牛存栏量的变化产生重要影响。其中，胚胎量决定未来可扩繁殖的牛源数量，其作为未来奶牛种群的“基因库”，对下游奶牛养殖场奶牛存栏量的影响的传导周期一般在 2.5~3.5年；而出场量直接关联下游奶牛养殖场的后备牛补充能力，决定未来可直接补栏的牛源数量，对下游奶牛养殖场奶牛存栏量的影响的传导周期一般在 0.5~1年。据此判断，中短期内，我国下游奶牛养殖场的产能扩张均有所放缓。
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食品饮料行业深度报告：原奶价格周期向上板块配置价值愈显-260108（59页）.pdf
2026年乳制品行业报告：原奶价格拐点将至，板块配置价值凸显
食品饮料行业深度报告：原奶价格周期向上板块配置价值愈显-260108
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