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国内未来通信卫星（大卫星）需求测算
国内未来通信卫星（大卫星）需求测算
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【研报】军工行业深度报告：新时代的中国航天-20200908（125页）.pdf
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图表122016-2025年8月中国卫星通信领域投资情况
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行业数据
2026-07-01
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图表252024—2025年前六大低轨商业通信卫星
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行业数据
2026-07-01
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国内主要低轨通信卫星星座
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行业数据
2026-06-12
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美国主要低轨通信卫星星座
PHRhYmxlPgogICAgPHRoZWFkPgogICAgICAgIDx0cj4KICAgICAgICAgICAgYGBgaHRtbAo8dGg+5pif5bqnPC90aD4KICAgICAgICAgICAgPHRoPui/kOiQpeS4u+S9kzwvdGg+CiAgICAgICAgICAgIDx0aD7mgLvkvZPop4TliJI8L3RoPgogICAgICAgICAgICA8dGg+55uu5YmN6L+b5bGVPC90aD4KICAgICAgICA8L3RyPgogICAgPC90aGVhZD4KICAgIDx0Ym9keT4KICAgICAgICA8dHI+CiAgICAgICAgICAgIDx0ZD5TdGFybGluazwvdGQ+CiAgICAgICAgICAgIDx0ZD5TcGFjZSBYPC90ZD4KICAgICAgICAgICAgPHRkPue6pjQuMuS4h+milzwvdGQ+CiAgICAgICAgICAgIDx0ZD4yMDE55bm0MTHmnIjpppbmrKHlj5HlsITnu4TnvZHvvIznm67liY3lt7Llj5HlsIQxMTY5N+mil+WNq+aYn++8jOWcqOi9qOi2hTEwMDAw6aKX5Y2r5pif77yM5bey57uP5YWl6auY6aKR44CB5a+G6ZuG57uE572R6Zi25q6144CCPC90ZD4KICAgICAgICA8L3RyPgogICAgICAgIDx0cj4KICAgICAgICAgICAgPHRkPkFtYXpvbiBMZW8oS3VpcGVyKTwvdGQ+CiAgICAgICAgICAgIDx0ZD5BbWF6b248L3RkPgogICAgICAgICAgICA8dGQ+RkND5bey5o6I5p2D6LaFNzcwMOmil++8jOWMheaLrEdlbjHns7vnu58zMjMy6aKX44CBR2VuMuezu+e7nzMyMTLpopfjgIFQb2xhcuezu+e7nzEyOTLpopc8L3RkPgogICAgICAgICAgICA8dGQ+MjAyNeW5tDTmnIjpppbmrKHlj5HlsITnu4TnvZHvvIgyMDIz5bm0MTDmnIjlj5HlsITkuKTpopfljp/lnovmmJ/vvInvvIznm67liY3lnKjovagyNDHpopfljavmmJ/vvIzmoLnmja5GQ0PopoHmsYJHZW4x57O757uf5LitNTAl5Y2z57qmMTYwMOmil+WNq+aYn+mcgOWcqDIwMjblubQ35pyI5a6M5oiQ6YOo572y77yM5Lqa6ams6YCK5bey55Sz6K+35bu25pyfMjTkuKrmnIjoh7MyMDI45bm0N+aciDwvdGQ+CiAgICAgICAgPC90cj4KICAgIDwvdGJvZHk+CjwvdGFibGU+CgrotYTmlpnmnaXmupDvvJrlpKrnqbrlnLDlm77vvIxGQ0PvvIxDTkJD77yM5aSu6KeG572R77yM5Lic5pa56LSi5a+M6K+B5Yi456CU56m25omACmBgYA==
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行业数据
2026-06-12
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宽带全球卫星通信
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行业数据
2026-04-08
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图 2-4 卫星通信产业链[8]
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产业链
2026-04-08
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ITU确认3GPPNTN技术作为5G卫星唯一的技术方案，卫星通信技术将在2028年初步成型
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行业数据
2026-03-10
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碳纤维复合材料在我国某商业通信卫星的应用
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行业数据
2026-03-03
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年主要国家低轨通信卫星发射数量（颗，截至年月日）
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行业数据
2026-02-24
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图7：中国卫星通信市场规模预测（亿元）
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自研数据
2026-02-05
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图8：中国卫星通信领域关键政策
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自研数据
2026-02-05
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图7：中国卫星通信市场规模预测（亿元）
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自研数据
2026-02-05
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图8：中国卫星通信领域关键政策
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自研数据
2026-02-05
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我国卫星通信相关企业注册量及增速
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2026-01-27
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图1：低地球轨道（LEO）及直连设备（D2D）通信卫星估算
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综上，我们可以对 2025年前已公布的我国通信卫星需求做出测算，如表 23及表 24 所示，预计 2025年前，我国通信卫星中大卫星需求 12-13颗、小卫星或微小卫星需求 1664颗。
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【研报】军工行业深度报告：新时代的中国航天-20200908（125页）.pdf
导弹各组成部分功能及分类
部分民营商业航天产业参与主体概况
“国家队”商业航天产业参与主体概况（仅考虑商业卫星制造及商业卫星发射）
2019年以来商业航天卫星发射民营企业融资情况（不完全统计）
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2026-07-01
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![图 2-4 卫星通信产业链[8]](https://file.sgpjbg.com/FileUpload1/News/132371ce-1cfe-40b9-8d29-6f6ea099e9ff.png "图 2-4 卫星通信产业链[8]")
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