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Day 1 - 2 SUYDERHOUD-SINHA RAY-ANDRUS-10-06-25 IFNEC AI Summit.pdf

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1、Accelerating Nuclear Power Plant Design,Licensing,and Deployment with AILRS/MIS-25-06246Agenda1.Opportunities and Challenges for Accelerating Nuclear Deployment2.Application Areas for AI in Design,Licensing,and Deployment3.Early R&D at INL4.Looking to the FutureThe Opportunity to Accelerate Long-Ter

2、m Projections for Nuclear Power Increase:U.S.Department of Energy(DOE):100 400 GWe by 2050 International Atomic Energy Agency(IAEA):337 992 GWe by 2050 Need to factor in existing fleet retirement But there is immediate demand from data centers:U.S.DOE:176 TWh 325-580 TWh by 2030(6.7%-12%of total U.S

3、.Energy)International Energy Agency(IEA):500 TWh 945 TWh by 2030The Challenge Nuclear power has a historical mean cost overrun of 120%worldwide Vogtle 3/4 in Georgia Initial$14B,final$30B(+$17B)Initial 2016,final 2024(+8 yrs)Based on current estimated capital costs of nuclear,this would cost anywher

4、e from$2.5 4.2 Trillion in the United States,not accounting for inflation Commercial plant engineering and licensing is a multi-year effort that accounts for 33%of total project costs and up to 50%of new energy deployment time to market How can we reverse this trend and accelerate nuclear plant depl

5、oyment?Opportunities for AI in Nuclear Power Plant Design A systems engineering design process for plant design(Requirements Architecture Detailed Design)Analytical workflow(FEA,multiphysics,neutronics,hazards/safety Analysis)automation with data transformations Plant,system,and component level opti

6、mization across risk&reliability,cost,supply chain,etc.Verification&Validation(V&V)Opportunities for AI in Licensing Acceleration New document generation from existing design engineering data Existing document conversion from one regulatory framework to another Regulatory framework comparison using

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根据《Accelerating Nuclear PowerPlant Design, Licensing, andDeployment with AI》的内容,以下为全文关键点概括: 1. **核能发展机遇**:预计到2050年,全球核能发电量将从目前的100 GWe增长到400 GWe(美国)或992 GWe(国际),但需考虑现有核电站的退役需求。 2. **核能发展挑战**:核能项目成本超支严重,如美国 Vogtle 3/4 项目的成本从14亿美元增加到30亿美元以上,工期延误8年。 3. **AI应用领域**: - **设计优化**:自动化设计流程、分析工作流、优化和验证。 - **许可加速**:文档生成、转换、合规性评估、变更影响分析。 - **建设优化**:进度优化、供应链优化、非合规识别和影响分析自动化。 4. **早期研发案例**: - 自动3D模型生成。 - 自动网格化进行地震分析。 - 系统优化AI框架。 - 核安全基础文档生成AI工具。 5. **未来展望**:需克服对静态文档的依赖、遗留系统、数据可用性、法规和许可、网络安全以及可信度和准确性等问题。
"AI加速核电站设计,你准备好了吗?" "核能加速部署,AI如何助力?" "AI在核能许可加速中的应用,揭秘!"
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