2023年十亿吨报告概述.pdf

1、ORNL is managed by UT-Battelle LLC for the US Department of EnergyOverview of the 2023 Billion-Ton ReportFifty-four authors,BT23Clean Fuels and Products Shot SummitApril 9th,2024V42 22023 Billion-Ton Report Results:0.7-1.7 billion tons production capacityBioeconomy currently provides 340 million ton

2、s biomass(5 Quads or 5%total)Currently available resources can double biomass in near-termMature market induces another 440-800 million tons biomass depending on yield assumptionsEmerging resources can supply another 250 million tonsAll estimates include sustainability constraintsAll prices are marg

3、inal prices except for waste,which is weighted average price.3 32023 Billion-Ton Report Demands for Decarbonization4 42023 Billion-Ton Report 2023 Billion-Ton Report(BT23)is 4th in a seriesTo inform research,development,and deployment strategies.Update to latest economic conditionsBetter clarity in

4、terms ofProduction capacity by market maturityLevel of resource utilizationNew resources(e.g.oilseeds,macroalgae)Policy agnostic End-use agnostic Not targets Not predictions2005201120165 52023 Billion-Ton Report Billion-Ton 2023 CollaboratorsFifty-four contributorsThirty reviewers6 62023 Billion-Ton

5、 Report BT23 considers current,available,and future resourcesWastes and byproductsAgricultural resourcesMicroalgaeCO2 TimberlandMacroalgaeCurrently used for energy and coproductsEmerging resourcesCurrently used resourcesWastesTimberlandAgricultural resourcesMicroalgae MacroalgaeCO2Currently availabl

6、e&Mature-market7 72023 Billion-Ton Report Currently used for energy 342 MUS currently uses 340 million tons of biomass for fuel&powerMillion tons per year in 2022MSW/Other wastes 37 MForestry/Wood144 MAgricultural162 M143.78 82023 Billion-Ton Report Waste&byproduct resources can provide 180-220 mill