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加拿大抵押贷款和住房公司(CMHC):2025加拿大住房市场展望报告(中译版)(56页).pdf

上传人: Kell****reet 编号:712566 2025-06-10 56页 2.18MB

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1、CANADIAN METROPOLITAN AREASFebruary 2025HOUSING MARKET INFORMATIONHousing Market OutlookSubscribecmhc.ca/housingupdatesTo request an alternate format,please contact us at:1-800-668-2642 contactcentrecmhc.ca700 Montreal Road,Ottawa,Ontario K1A 0P7Click on links below for direct access.3 National Over

2、view 8 British Columbia Markets 14 Prairies Markets 24 Central Markets 35 Main Eastern MarketsTable of ContentsHousing Market Outlook in select Census Metropolitan Areas(CMAs)Housing Market Outlook|February 20252National OverviewHIGHLIGHTS Foreign trade risks and immigration changes add significant

3、uncertainty to the outlook.We expect economic activity to be modest in 2025,picking up in 2026 and 2027.Housing starts will slow down from 2025 to 2027 mainly due to fewer condominium apartments being built but total starts will remain above their 10-year average.Rental apartment construction will r

4、emain high but may slow in 2027 as demand eases.Ground-oriented homes(detached,semi-detached,row homes)may recover slightly,especially in more affordable options like row houses.We expect housing sales and prices to rebound as lower mortgage rates and changes to mortgage rules unlock pent-up demand

5、in the short term.In the longer term,stronger economic fundamentals will support this rebound.The recovery will be uneven,with slower progress in less affordable regions and in the condominium apartment market.Rental markets are expected to ease with higher vacancy rates slowing rent growth.Renter a

6、ffordability will improve gradually,with more noticeable changes happening later in the forecast period.EconomyUncertain economic outlook amid geopolitical and immigration shiftsCanadas economic future faces significant uncertainty due to potential changes in U.S.trade policies and lower immigration

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根据文章内容,以下是关键点总结: 1. 加拿大经济面临不确定性,2025年经济增长预计放缓,2026-2027年将有所回升。就业增长预计放缓,失业率上升,但2026-2027年将有所下降。 2. 2025-2027年,加拿大住房市场预计将出现复苏,主要受低按揭利率和按揭政策变化推动。但复苏将不均衡,公寓市场复苏较慢。 3. 2025年,多伦多地区住房开工预计将继续下降,主要受公寓开工下降影响。但单户住宅开工预计将略有回升。 4. 2025年,大多伦多地区二手房销量预计将回升,主要受低按揭利率推动。但销量仍低于10年平均水平。 5. 2025年,大多伦多地区房价预计将略有上涨,主要受家庭住房需求推动。但公寓市场供应过剩,房价上涨压力较小。 6. 2025年,大多伦多地区租赁市场预计将继续平衡,空置率上升,租金增长放缓。
2025年加拿大房市展望如何? 大温哥华地区房市将如何发展? 2025年大多伦多地区房市前景如何?
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