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联合国贸易和发展会议:2024海运审查评述报告航行海上咽喉要道(英文版)(166页).pdf

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1、Navigating maritime chokepointsReview of maritime transport2024UNITED NATIONS CONFERENCE ON TRADE AND DEVELOPMENTNavigating maritime chokepointsReview of maritime transport2024UNITED NATIONS CONFERENCE ON TRADE AND DEVELOPMENTGeneva,2024ii 2024,United NationsAll rights reserved worldwideRequests to

2、reproduce excerpts or to photocopy should be addressed to the Copyright Clearance Centre at .All other queries on rights and licences,including subsidiary rights,should be addressed to:United Nations Publications 405 East 42nd StreetNew York,New York 10017United States of America Email:publicationsu

3、n.org Website:https:/shop.un.org The designations employed and the presentation of material on any map in this work do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country,territory,city or area or of its authorities,or conce

4、rning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.Mention of any firm or licensed process does not imply the endorsement of the United Nations.This publication has been edited externally.United Nations publication issued by the United Nations Conference on Trade and DevelopmentUNCTAD/RMT/2024ISB

5、N:978-92-1-003206-3eISBN:978-92-1-106592-3ePub ISBN:978-92-1-106593-0ISSN:0566-7682 eISSN:2225-3459 Sales No.E.24.II.D.19 Review of maritime transport 2024Navigating maritime chokepointsiiiAcknowledgementsThe Review of Maritime Transport 2024 was prepared by UNCTAD under the overall guidance of Sham

6、ika N.Sirimanne,Director,Division on Technology and Logistics,UNCTAD,by Regina Asariotis,Mark Assaf,Celine Bacrot,Hassiba Benamara,Liliane Rose Flour,Poul Hansen,Jan Hoffmann,Onno Hoffmeister,Tomasz Kulaga,Luisa Rodrguez,Camila Struempfler,Hidenobu Tokuda and Frida Youssef.The report benefited from

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本文主要讨论了2023年和2024年国际海事贸易的发展趋势。主要观点如下: 1. 2023年,全球海事贸易量达到12,292百万吨,同比增长2.4%。贸易量增长主要得益于全球经济的增长,以及主要经济体表现优于预期。 2. 2023年,全球海事贸易的“运输工作强度”有所提高,即每单位海运货物的运输距离增加。这主要是由于乌克兰战争、红海和巴拿马运河的航运中断导致航程延长。 3. 预计2024年,全球海事贸易量将增长2%,集装箱贸易量增长3.5%。2025-2029年,预计全球海运贸易量年均增长2.4%,集装箱贸易量年均增长2.7%。 4. 海运贸易的增长受到全球经济、贸易政策、供应链风险、极端天气事件等因素的影响。未来,全球化和区域化、贸易保护主义、供应链重构等结构性因素可能改变海运贸易与全球GDP增长之间的关系。 5. 文章强调,保障关键海运咽喉要道的畅通,对维护全球供应链的稳定至关重要。同时,海运业需要加快向低碳、清洁的能源转型,以应对气候变化的挑战。
2024年海运贸易量增长预测是多少? 海运贸易量增长与全球GDP增长有何关系? 哪些因素影响海运贸易量增长?
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