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联合国环境规划署:2023年生产差距报告(英文版)(126页).pdf

上传人: AG 编号:605577 2024-01-01 126页 11.45MB

1、2023Production Gap Report 2023Phasing down or phasing up?Top fossil fuel producers plan even more extraction despite climate promisesAbout This ReportThis is the fourth edition of the Production Gap Report,first issued in 2019.The report tracks the misalignment between governments planned fossil fue

2、l production and global production levels con-sistent with limiting global warming to 1.5C or 2C.The report represents a collaboration of several research and academic institutions,including inputs and reviews from more than 80 experts from 30 countries spanning the Global North and Global South.The

3、 report is externally peer-reviewed,with additional guidance and support from the United Nations Environment Programme,and review by the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Changes government focal points.This years report features two major updates to the production gap analysis,drawing

4、on the new mitigation scenarios database compiled for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Changes Sixth Assessment Report and changes in government plans and projections since August 2021.The report also provides individual country profiles for 20 major fossil-fuel-producing countries,evaluating

5、governments latest climate ambitions and their plans,policies,and strategies that support fossil fuel production or the transition away from it.The production gap analysis is based on recent and publicly accessible plans and projections for fos-sil fuel production published by governments and affili

6、ated institutions.Other information presented throughout the report,such as details on fossil fuel investments and policies is supported by a mix of government,intergovernmental,peer-review,and other research sources listed in the references.The report and its materials can be accessed online at htt

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本文主要内容如下: 1. 政府计划到2030年生产化石燃料的数量是限制全球变暖1.5°C的两倍以上,是限制全球变暖2°C的69%以上。 2. 政府计划和预测将导致全球煤炭产量到2030年增加,全球石油和天然气产量至少到2050年增加。 3. 20个主要化石燃料生产国中,17个国家承诺实现净零排放,但大多数国家仍在推广、补贴和支持化石燃料生产。 4. 为了限制全球变暖1.5°C,全球煤炭、石油和天然气产量和使用应从现在开始迅速和显著下降。 5. 考虑到碳捕集和封存以及二氧化碳移除的风险和不确定性,国家应至少在2040年前逐步淘汰煤炭生产和使用,并在2050年前将石油和天然气生产和使用减少四分之三。
政府化石燃料生产计划与全球变暖限制目标存在多大差距? 哪些因素导致全球化石燃料生产差距持续存在? 实现1.5°C温控目标需要各国采取哪些措施减少化石燃料生产?
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