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IEA:2021年可再生能源报告-至2026年的分析与预测(170页).pdf

上传人: X**** 编号:58117 2021-12-24 170页 8.38MB

1、Renewables2021Analysis and forecast to 2026Renewables 2021 Abstract Analysis and forecasts to 2026 PAGE | 3 IEA. All rights reserved. Abstract Renewables 2021 is the IEAs primary analysis on the sector, based on current policies and market developments. It forecasts the deployment of renewable energ

2、y technologies in electricity, transport and heat to 2026 while also exploring key challenges to the industry and identifying barriers to faster growth. Renewables are the backbone of any energy transition to achieve net zero. As the world increasingly shifts away from carbon emitting fossil fuels,

3、understanding the current role renewables play in the decarbonisation of multiple sectors is key to ensuring a smooth pathway to net zero. While renewables continued to be deployed at a strong pace during the Covid-19 crisis, they face new opportunities and challenges. This years report frames curre

4、nt policy and market dynamics while placing the recent rise in energy and commodities prices in context. In addition to providing detailed market analysis and forecasts, Renewables 2021 also explores trends to watch including storage, producing hydrogen from renewable electricity, stimulus packages,

5、 aviation biofuels and residential heating. Renewables 2021 Acknowledgements Analysis and forecasts to 2026 PAGE | 4 IEA. All rights reserved. Acknowledgements, contributors and credits This study was prepared by the Renewable Energy Division in the Directorate of Energy Markets and Security. It was

6、 designed and directed by Heymi Bahar, Senior Analyst. The report benefited from analysis, drafting and input from multiple colleagues. The lead authors of the report were, Yasmina Abdelilah, Heymi Bahar, Trevor Criswell, Piotr Bojek, Franois Briens, Jeremy Moorhouse and Grecia Rodrguez Jimnez, who

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本文主要分析了2021年至2026年间全球可再生能源的发展趋势。主要观点如下: 1. 2021年,全球可再生能源发电能力预计将增长近290吉瓦,比2020年增长3%。其中,太阳能光伏发电占新增可再生能源发电能力的60%,风能和水电分别占30%和10%。 2. 预计到2026年,全球可再生能源发电能力将增长超过1800吉瓦,占全球电力总增长量的95%。中国、欧洲、美国和印度将共同贡献全球可再生能源增长量的80%。 3. 尽管原材料价格上涨导致可再生能源建设成本上升,但高化石燃料价格提高了可再生能源的竞争力。预计2021年太阳能光伏发电能力将增长17%,创下160吉瓦的新纪录。 4. 预计到2026年,全球海上风电装机容量将增长超过三倍,达到21吉瓦。 5. 亚洲国家,特别是印度和印度尼西亚,将成为全球生物燃料需求增长的主要驱动力。预计到2026年,亚洲将超过欧洲,成为全球最大的生物燃料生产区。 6. 尽管政策支持有所增加,但可再生能源在建筑和工业供热领域的市场份额预计到2026年仅将增长至13%。 7. 政府需要解决审批、电网接入、融资、社会接受度等政策、监管和实施方面的挑战,以加速可再生能源的部署。
2021年可再生能源增长趋势如何? 哪些因素推动了可再生能源的增长? 未来五年内,可再生能源发展面临哪些挑战?
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