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汇丰银行(HSBC):新兴市场股票策略:新兴市场全球基础设施聚宝盆(英文版)(88页).pdf

上传人: 云闲 编号:46393 2021-07-23 88页 2.25MB

1、Disclosures & Disclaimer: This report must be read with the disclosures and the analyst certifi cations inthe Disclosure appendix, and with the Disclaimer, which forms part of it.Asset / SubcategoryJune 2021Multi-Asset | Emerging MarketsThe EM global infrastructure cornucopiaPlay video withJohn Loma

2、xMulti-AssetEmerging MarketsJune 2021By: John Lomax, Herald van der Linde and HSBC Global Research teamThe EM global infrastructure cornucopiaGEMs Equity StrategyThe global infrastructure story traditional and greenwill drive EM equities both directly and indirectly through higher metal pricesIn thi

3、s report we identify a broad range of stocks that could be benefi ciaries of this theme 1 Multi-Asset Emerging Markets June 2021 THIS CONTENT MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED TO MAINLAND CHINA Executive summary 2 Introduction 4 Part one: Trends in Global infrastructure spending 10 EM outlook and commodity pro

4、ducing countries 11 An ESG perspective on green infrastructure 13 Mainland China: infrastructure will continue to support growth 15 US infrastructure prospects and the American Jobs Plan 18 Next Generation EU 20 Metals & mining a selective green infrastructure play 23 Future cities: the changing sha

5、pe of urbanisation 25 Commodities and the Wests infrastructure plans 28 Part two: How to play the story in EM 31 Asian infrastructure plays 32 China metals and mining and domestic infrastructure spend 33 China industrials 35 China energy a traditional infrastructure exposure 38 ESG plays on Chinese

6、infrastructure spend 41 Asia ex mainland China playing the global infrastructure story 42 Non-Asia metals and mining plays 44 LatAm metals & mining and the global infrastructure thesis 45 EEMEA metals and mining and the global infrastructure thesis 47 Domestic-facing plays in commodity markets 49 Sa

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本文主要讨论了全球基础设施支出及其新兴市场(EM)受益者。文章指出,全球基础设施支出,包括传统和绿色基础设施,将直接和间接地通过提高金属价格推动EM股市。报告识别了一系列可能受益于这一主题的股票,并将其分为三组:亚洲在中国基础设施支出中的角色、非亚洲金属和采矿股票以及商品市场中的国内面向型股票。文章还讨论了基础设施支出与商品价格之间的联系,并指出,尽管不太可能出现像2000年代初期那样的商品“超级周期”,但基础设施和金属的持续上升趋势是可行的,这足以支撑投资主题。最后,文章指出,尽管中国的基础设施支出可能会逐渐减少,但西方的支出规模可能会更大,因为美国就业计划和欧盟下一代基金都涉及大量资金。
基础设施投资如何影响全球股市? 中国基础设施支出下降,西方支出增加,这对全球股市有何影响? 绿色基础设施投资是否将引发新的超级周期?
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