计划焚烧以实现降低风险和生物多样性成果.pdf

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1、Prescribed burning to achieve risk reduction and biodiversity outcomesDr Jane CawsonFLARE Wildfire ResearchSchool of Agriculture,Food and Ecosystem Sciences2AcknowledgementsOur research was conducted on the traditional lands of the Gunditjmara peoples from far south-western Victoria Many thanks to:R

2、esearch team from the University of Melbourne Bee Pickering,Trent Penman,Erica Marshall,Kate Parkins,Shona Elliot-Kerr DEECA project team Hamish Martin,Nicola Aylward,Mel Calwell Workshop participants DEECA,Parks Victoria,CFA,Gundtij mirring,Glenelg Hopkins CMA,University of Melbourne,Nature Glenelg

3、,Glenelg shire council3Climate change is altering fire riskPhoto credit:John Costenaro 4We are in a biodiversity crisis5How do we want our forests to look in the future?What management actions could be used to shift vegetation towards a desirable state?Do we need objective-specific burn prescription

4、s?6Far south-western VictoriaSoutheastern red tailed black cockatooHeath Mouse7Expert elicitation:Structured decision making&Quantitative Expert Judgement8Expert elicitation:Structured decision making&Quantitative Expert Judgement Lack of existing data but plenty of experiential knowledge Considers

5、a broad range of perspectives,which may help with social license Different perspectives promote creative thinking Group estimates outperform individual estimates Structured approach allows estimates to be treated as data9How do we want our forests to look in the future?DesirableUndesirable123451011V

6、egetation attributes desirable or undesirable from both perspectives Lower stem density High live to dead ratio x Abundant woody weedsx Extensive diebackVegetation attributes desirable from one perspective and unimportant to the other Charred barkHigh floristic diversityMulti-cohort of treesHollow b