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:亚太地区-房地产行业-亚洲地产业:在家办公是一个新的挑战(英文版)(65页).pdf

上传人: Me****y 编号:17047 2020-08-11 65页 1.20MB

1、MM Mapping the New Normal Asia Property: Working from Home, a New Challenge for Asias Office Landlords WFH is a cost saving opportunity for businesses. We expect tenants across Asia to surrender 3-9% of existing office space permanently, resulting in a rent decline of 10-15% over the next three year

2、s. Prefer office stocks in Hong Kong and India over Australia and Japan. Morgan Stanley does and seeks to do business with companies covered in Morgan Stanley Research. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of Morgan St

3、anley Research. Investors should consider Morgan Stanley Research as only a single factor in making their investment decision. For analyst certification and other important disclosures, refer to the Disclosure Section, located at the end of this report. += Analysts employed by non-U.S. affiliates ar

4、e not registered with FINRA, may not be associated persons of the member and may not be subject to FINRA restrictions on communications with a subject company, public appearances and trading securities held by a research analyst account. July 27, 2020 08:00 PM GMT MM MORGAN STANLEY ASIA LIMITED+ Pra

5、veen K Choudhary Equity Analyst +852 2848-5068 Praveen.C Contributors MORGAN STANLEY ASIA (SINGAPORE) PTE.+ Wilson W Ng, CFA Equity Analyst +65 6834-6345 Wilson.W.N MORGAN STANLEY ASIA LIMITED+ Hildy Ling Equity Analyst +852 2239-7834 Hildy.L MORGAN STANLEY ASIA LIMITED+ Dan Xu Equity Analyst +852 2

6、239-1227 Dan.Xd.X MORGAN STANLEY ASIA (SINGAPORE) PTE.+ Derek Chang Equity Analyst +65 6834-6512 Derek.C MORGAN STANLEY MUFG SECURITIES CO., LTD.+ Atsuro Takemura Equity Analyst +81 3 6836-5429 Atsuro.T MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED+ Simon Chan Equity Analyst +61 2 9770-1316 Simon.C MORGAN STANLE

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本文主要讨论了新冠疫情对亚洲办公室出租市场的影响。主要观点如下: 1. 预计亚洲办公室出租需求将下降3-9%,租金将下降10-15%。 2. 办公室出租市场价值约为0.8万亿美元,办公室租金占企业固定运营成本的15-20%。 3. 大多数员工希望未来有灵活的在家办公选择,但大多数人不希望每天在家工作。 4. 预计香港和印度的办公室股票表现将优于澳大利亚和日本。 5. 预计香港办公室租金将下降7%,新加坡将下降10%,东京将下降9%,悉尼将下降5%。 6. 办公室出租市场对GDP增长有很强的正相关性。 7. 办公室出租市场对GDP增长有很强的正相关性。
远程工作对亚洲办公室租赁市场有何影响? 香港办公室租金未来三年将如何变化? 哪些亚洲房地产股票值得关注?
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